Skip to main content

Para negociar nos EUA, acesse polymarket.us

icon for Xi Jinping sair antes de 2027?
Geopolítica·Assuntos Mundiais

Xi Jinping sair antes de 2027?

icon for Xi Jinping sair antes de 2027?
Geopolítica·Assuntos Mundiais

Xi Jinping sair antes de 2027?

jan 1, 2027

jan 1, 2027

Sim

4% chance
Polymarket

$13,124,590 Vol.

Sim

4% chance
Polymarket

$13,124,590 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s consolidation of power through extensive purges of military and party elites has eliminated visible rivals and reinforced his control over key institutions ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. With no designated successor and analysts expecting him to pursue a fourth term, recent leadership reshuffles and anti-corruption drives signal continuity rather than transition. The 96.3% trader consensus on “No” reflects this absence of credible internal challenges or public signals of departure within the narrow window before 2027. Unforeseen developments such as acute health complications, a severe economic downturn triggering elite fractures, or an unexpected coalition against his rule remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$13,124,590
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jul 3, 2025, 4:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s consolidation of power through extensive purges of military and party elites has eliminated visible rivals and reinforced his control over key institutions ahead of the 2027 Party Congress. With no designated successor and analysts expecting him to pursue a fourth term, recent leadership reshuffles and anti-corruption drives signal continuity rather than transition. The 96.3% trader consensus on “No” reflects this absence of credible internal challenges or public signals of departure within the narrow window before 2027. Unforeseen developments such as acute health complications, a severe economic downturn triggering elite fractures, or an unexpected coalition against his rule remain the primary variables that could still alter the outcome.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe.

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if China's General Secretary of the Communist Party, Xi Jinping, is removed from power for any length of time between July 3, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". CCP General Secretary Xi Jinping will be considered removed from power if he announces his resignation from his role as General Secretary, or is otherwise dismissed, detained, disqualified, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from fulfilling his duties as General Secretary within this market's timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$13,124,590
Data de Término
1 jan 2027
Mercado Aberto
Jul 3, 2025, 4:35 PM ET

Resolver

0x157Ce2d67...

Relacionado

icon for Xi Jinping vai purgar Zhang Shengmin em 2026?

Xi Jinping vai purgar Zhang Shengmin em 2026?

7%
Sim
icon for Xi Jinping vai se divorciar antes de 2027?

Xi Jinping vai se divorciar antes de 2027?

1%
Sim
icon for Trump fora da presidência antes de 2027?

Trump fora da presidência antes de 2027?

6%
Sim

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Xi Jinping sair antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Xi Jinping fora antes de 2027?" at 4%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 4¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 4% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Xi Jinping sair antes de 2027?" has generated $13.1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 3, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Xi Jinping sair antes de 2027?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

This is a wide-open market. The current leader for "Xi Jinping sair antes de 2027?" is "Xi Jinping fora antes de 2027?" at just 4%. With no outcome commanding a strong majority, traders see this as highly uncertain, which can present unique trading opportunities. These odds update in real-time, so bookmark this page to watch how the probabilities evolve.

The resolution rules for "Xi Jinping sair antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.