Incumbent Democrat Greg Stanton holds a commanding position in Arizona’s 4th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, backed by the seat’s D+4 Partisan Voter Index and his comfortable July primary victory over a progressive challenger. Strong fundraising, recent endorsements including from the Arizona Fraternal Order of Police, and the absence of a well-funded Republican opponent have reinforced trader consensus around his reelection. Zuhdi Jasser secured the GOP nomination unopposed but trails significantly in resources and district fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district’s recent voting patterns and low competitiveness make such reversals improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоAZ-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
AZ-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$37,233 Объем
$37,233 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Грег Стантон (Д)
95%
Зухди Джассер (Р)
6%
$37,233 Объем
$37,233 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Грег Стантон (Д)
$25,677 Объем
95%
Зухди Джассер (Р)
$11,556 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Greg Stanton holds a commanding position in Arizona’s 4th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, backed by the seat’s D+4 Partisan Voter Index and his comfortable July primary victory over a progressive challenger. Strong fundraising, recent endorsements including from the Arizona Fraternal Order of Police, and the absence of a well-funded Republican opponent have reinforced trader consensus around his reelection. Zuhdi Jasser secured the GOP nomination unopposed but trails significantly in resources and district fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district’s recent voting patterns and low competitiveness make such reversals improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Объем
$37,233Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Greg Stanton holds a commanding position in Arizona’s 4th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, backed by the seat’s D+4 Partisan Voter Index and his comfortable July primary victory over a progressive challenger. Strong fundraising, recent endorsements including from the Arizona Fraternal Order of Police, and the absence of a well-funded Republican opponent have reinforced trader consensus around his reelection. Zuhdi Jasser secured the GOP nomination unopposed but trails significantly in resources and district fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district’s recent voting patterns and low competitiveness make such reversals improbable.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$37,233Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Greg Stanton holds a commanding position in Arizona’s 4th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election, backed by the seat’s D+4 Partisan Voter Index and his comfortable July primary victory over a progressive challenger. Strong fundraising, recent endorsements including from the Arizona Fraternal Order of Police, and the absence of a well-funded Republican opponent have reinforced trader consensus around his reelection. Zuhdi Jasser secured the GOP nomination unopposed but trails significantly in resources and district fundamentals. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national political shift could theoretically narrow the gap, though the district’s recent voting patterns and low competitiveness make such reversals improbable.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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