United Russia maintains its dominant position ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections due to its status as the incumbent ruling party, control over candidate registration, and the mixed electoral system favoring single-member districts. Recent polling, including June surveys showing United Russia well ahead of New People and other parties, combined with the August Supreme Court decision barring Yabloko’s federal list, has further consolidated expectations of a large seat lead. The party’s congresses advanced a program emphasizing social spending and veteran inclusion while opposition parties face ongoing registration hurdles. Traders price United Russia at 69.5% to win the most seats, reflecting these institutional and campaign dynamics in the weeks before voting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакая партия получит наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в России?
Какая партия получит наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в России?
Единая Россия (ЕР) 70%
Новые люди (NL) 25.2%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР) 4.3%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ) 1.3%
$24,066,416 Объем
$24,066,416 Объем
29 сент. 2026 г.
Единая Россия (ЕР)
70%
Новые люди (NL)
25%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР)
4%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ)
1%
Яблоко
<1%
Родина
<1%
Справедливая Россия — За правду (СРЗП)
<1%
Гражданская платформа (ГП)
<1%
Единая Россия (ЕР) 70%
Новые люди (NL) 25.2%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР) 4.3%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ) 1.3%
$24,066,416 Объем
$24,066,416 Объем
29 сент. 2026 г.
Единая Россия (ЕР)
$8,824,386 Объем
70%
Новые люди (NL)
$2,533,578 Объем
25%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР)
$3,505,324 Объем
4%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ)
$1,622,392 Объем
1%
Яблоко
$1,603,564 Объем
<1%
Родина
$2,800,532 Объем
<1%
Справедливая Россия — За правду (СРЗП)
$1,883,443 Объем
<1%
Гражданская платформа (ГП)
$1,293,197 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains its dominant position ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections due to its status as the incumbent ruling party, control over candidate registration, and the mixed electoral system favoring single-member districts. Recent polling, including June surveys showing United Russia well ahead of New People and other parties, combined with the August Supreme Court decision barring Yabloko’s federal list, has further consolidated expectations of a large seat lead. The party’s congresses advanced a program emphasizing social spending and veteran inclusion while opposition parties face ongoing registration hurdles. Traders price United Russia at 69.5% to win the most seats, reflecting these institutional and campaign dynamics in the weeks before voting.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Открытие рынка: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Объем
$24,066,416Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains its dominant position ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections due to its status as the incumbent ruling party, control over candidate registration, and the mixed electoral system favoring single-member districts. Recent polling, including June surveys showing United Russia well ahead of New People and other parties, combined with the August Supreme Court decision barring Yabloko’s federal list, has further consolidated expectations of a large seat lead. The party’s congresses advanced a program emphasizing social spending and veteran inclusion while opposition parties face ongoing registration hurdles. Traders price United Russia at 69.5% to win the most seats, reflecting these institutional and campaign dynamics in the weeks before voting.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Объем
$24,066,416Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains its dominant position ahead of the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma elections due to its status as the incumbent ruling party, control over candidate registration, and the mixed electoral system favoring single-member districts. Recent polling, including June surveys showing United Russia well ahead of New People and other parties, combined with the August Supreme Court decision barring Yabloko’s federal list, has further consolidated expectations of a large seat lead. The party’s congresses advanced a program emphasizing social spending and veteran inclusion while opposition parties face ongoing registration hurdles. Traders price United Russia at 69.5% to win the most seats, reflecting these institutional and campaign dynamics in the weeks before voting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Выиграет ли «Единая Россия» (ЕР) наибольшее количество мест на следующих выборах в Государственную думу?
99%
Да
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
43%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
86%
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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