Recent polling averages place the Parti Libéral du Québec near 20-24% support ahead of the October 5 election, with projections centering 28-38 seats due to heavy concentration among anglophone and allophone voters in Montreal ridings. This geographic strength secures a floor near opposition status but limits upside, as francophone backing remains low amid a tight PQ-CAQ contest for first place. Late-August surveys show PLQ support dropping as the CAQ narrows the PQ lead, reflecting voter shifts on economic pressures and healthcare. Multi-party fragmentation, regional riding math, and the short campaign window keep outcomes clustered across the middle bins, with further poll movement or turnout differences in key Montreal seats likely to widen or narrow the range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено28–31 29%
<28 22%
32–35 22%
36-39 18%
$11,514 Объем
$11,514 Объем
5 окт. 2026 г.
<28
22%
28–31
29%
32–35
22%
36-39
18%
40-43
1%
44+
6%
28–31 29%
<28 22%
32–35 22%
36-39 18%
$11,514 Объем
$11,514 Объем
5 окт. 2026 г.
<28
$2,512 Объем
22%
28–31
$3,624 Объем
29%
32–35
$1,482 Объем
22%
36-39
$2,102 Объем
18%
40-43
$1,011 Объем
1%
44+
$783 Объем
6%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages place the Parti Libéral du Québec near 20-24% support ahead of the October 5 election, with projections centering 28-38 seats due to heavy concentration among anglophone and allophone voters in Montreal ridings. This geographic strength secures a floor near opposition status but limits upside, as francophone backing remains low amid a tight PQ-CAQ contest for first place. Late-August surveys show PLQ support dropping as the CAQ narrows the PQ lead, reflecting voter shifts on economic pressures and healthcare. Multi-party fragmentation, regional riding math, and the short campaign window keep outcomes clustered across the middle bins, with further poll movement or turnout differences in key Montreal seats likely to widen or narrow the range.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
Объем
$11,514Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages place the Parti Libéral du Québec near 20-24% support ahead of the October 5 election, with projections centering 28-38 seats due to heavy concentration among anglophone and allophone voters in Montreal ridings. This geographic strength secures a floor near opposition status but limits upside, as francophone backing remains low amid a tight PQ-CAQ contest for first place. Late-August surveys show PLQ support dropping as the CAQ narrows the PQ lead, reflecting voter shifts on economic pressures and healthcare. Multi-party fragmentation, regional riding math, and the short campaign window keep outcomes clustered across the middle bins, with further poll movement or turnout differences in key Montreal seats likely to widen or narrow the range.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Объем
$11,514Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place the Parti Libéral du Québec near 20-24% support ahead of the October 5 election, with projections centering 28-38 seats due to heavy concentration among anglophone and allophone voters in Montreal ridings. This geographic strength secures a floor near opposition status but limits upside, as francophone backing remains low amid a tight PQ-CAQ contest for first place. Late-August surveys show PLQ support dropping as the CAQ narrows the PQ lead, reflecting voter shifts on economic pressures and healthcare. Multi-party fragmentation, regional riding math, and the short campaign window keep outcomes clustered across the middle bins, with further poll movement or turnout differences in key Montreal seats likely to widen or narrow the range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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