Incumbent Andy Harris maintains a commanding position in Maryland's 1st Congressional District race due to the district's established Republican lean on the Eastern Shore, his long tenure since 2011, and consistent primary dominance, including an 80% victory in the June 2026 GOP primary. Traders reflect this through the 93.5% consensus, supported by Harris's substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.3 million against Dan Schwartz's roughly $700,000, alongside race ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican. A July 2026 poll showed Harris ahead 52% to 39%. Factors that could still shift outcomes include a major scandal, health event, unusually strong Democratic turnout, or impacts from the concurrent redistricting ballot measure, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоMD-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
MD-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$59,821 Объем
$59,821 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Энди Харрис (Р)
94%
Дэн Шварц (Д)
6%
$59,821 Объем
$59,821 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Энди Харрис (Р)
$33,551 Объем
94%
Дэн Шварц (Д)
$26,269 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Andy Harris maintains a commanding position in Maryland's 1st Congressional District race due to the district's established Republican lean on the Eastern Shore, his long tenure since 2011, and consistent primary dominance, including an 80% victory in the June 2026 GOP primary. Traders reflect this through the 93.5% consensus, supported by Harris's substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.3 million against Dan Schwartz's roughly $700,000, alongside race ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican. A July 2026 poll showed Harris ahead 52% to 39%. Factors that could still shift outcomes include a major scandal, health event, unusually strong Democratic turnout, or impacts from the concurrent redistricting ballot measure, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$59,821Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Andy Harris maintains a commanding position in Maryland's 1st Congressional District race due to the district's established Republican lean on the Eastern Shore, his long tenure since 2011, and consistent primary dominance, including an 80% victory in the June 2026 GOP primary. Traders reflect this through the 93.5% consensus, supported by Harris's substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.3 million against Dan Schwartz's roughly $700,000, alongside race ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican. A July 2026 poll showed Harris ahead 52% to 39%. Factors that could still shift outcomes include a major scandal, health event, unusually strong Democratic turnout, or impacts from the concurrent redistricting ballot measure, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$59,821Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Andy Harris maintains a commanding position in Maryland's 1st Congressional District race due to the district's established Republican lean on the Eastern Shore, his long tenure since 2011, and consistent primary dominance, including an 80% victory in the June 2026 GOP primary. Traders reflect this through the 93.5% consensus, supported by Harris's substantial fundraising edge exceeding $2.3 million against Dan Schwartz's roughly $700,000, alongside race ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Republican. A July 2026 poll showed Harris ahead 52% to 39%. Factors that could still shift outcomes include a major scandal, health event, unusually strong Democratic turnout, or impacts from the concurrent redistricting ballot measure, though no such developments have emerged in recent weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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