Recent polls ahead of the October 5 election show the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead in popular support near 28-29 percent, with the Parti libéral du Québec, Coalition Avenir Québec, and Parti conservateur du Québec clustered between 21-24 percent. This fragmentation sustains a close contest for second place, as the Liberals draw strength from Montreal ridings while the CAQ retains pockets of support elsewhere and the PCQ gains in the Quebec City region. Seat projections from aggregators place the PLQ ahead of the CAQ for official opposition status in most scenarios, though late-campaign shifts in undecided voters and regional turnout could alter the final order. Leaders’ debates and platform contrasts on economic management and sovereignty continue to influence these margins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПКК 57%
CAQ 43%
Квебекская партия (PQ) 12.8%
QS <1%
$26,056 Объем
$26,056 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
ПКК
53%
CAQ
43%
Квебекская партия (PQ)
10%
QS
<1%
PCQ
<1%
PVQ
<1%
ПКК 57%
CAQ 43%
Квебекская партия (PQ) 12.8%
QS <1%
$26,056 Объем
$26,056 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
ПКК
$7,123 Объем
53%
CAQ
$8,647 Объем
43%
Квебекская партия (PQ)
$6,141 Объем
10%
QS
$1,717 Объем
<1%
PCQ
$1,027 Объем
<1%
PVQ
$1,399 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls ahead of the October 5 election show the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead in popular support near 28-29 percent, with the Parti libéral du Québec, Coalition Avenir Québec, and Parti conservateur du Québec clustered between 21-24 percent. This fragmentation sustains a close contest for second place, as the Liberals draw strength from Montreal ridings while the CAQ retains pockets of support elsewhere and the PCQ gains in the Quebec City region. Seat projections from aggregators place the PLQ ahead of the CAQ for official opposition status in most scenarios, though late-campaign shifts in undecided voters and regional turnout could alter the final order. Leaders’ debates and platform contrasts on economic management and sovereignty continue to influence these margins.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Объем
$26,056Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polls ahead of the October 5 election show the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead in popular support near 28-29 percent, with the Parti libéral du Québec, Coalition Avenir Québec, and Parti conservateur du Québec clustered between 21-24 percent. This fragmentation sustains a close contest for second place, as the Liberals draw strength from Montreal ridings while the CAQ retains pockets of support elsewhere and the PCQ gains in the Quebec City region. Seat projections from aggregators place the PLQ ahead of the CAQ for official opposition status in most scenarios, though late-campaign shifts in undecided voters and regional turnout could alter the final order. Leaders’ debates and platform contrasts on economic management and sovereignty continue to influence these margins.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Объем
$26,056Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of the October 5 election show the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead in popular support near 28-29 percent, with the Parti libéral du Québec, Coalition Avenir Québec, and Parti conservateur du Québec clustered between 21-24 percent. This fragmentation sustains a close contest for second place, as the Liberals draw strength from Montreal ridings while the CAQ retains pockets of support elsewhere and the PCQ gains in the Quebec City region. Seat projections from aggregators place the PLQ ahead of the CAQ for official opposition status in most scenarios, though late-campaign shifts in undecided voters and regional turnout could alter the final order. Leaders’ debates and platform contrasts on economic management and sovereignty continue to influence these margins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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