Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead near 28-29%, while the Parti libéral du Québec and Coalition Avenir Québec remain within a few points of each other in the low-to-mid 20s, with the Parti conservateur du Québec climbing to around 16-17%. This positioning leaves third place highly contested among the PLQ, CAQ, and PCQ, as regional variations and undecided voters—still near 10%—create volatility in seat and vote projections. Upcoming leaders’ debates and the final weeks of campaigning before the October 5 election could shift support among francophone and suburban voters, where these parties compete most directly. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty through closely matched probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоPLQ 39%
CAQ 37%
ПКК 11.6%
Квебекская партия 6.1%
$13,541 Объем
$13,541 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
PLQ
51%
CAQ
36%
ПКК
12%
Квебекская партия
6%
QS
2%
PVQ
<1%
PLQ 39%
CAQ 37%
ПКК 11.6%
Квебекская партия 6.1%
$13,541 Объем
$13,541 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
PLQ
$3,915 Объем
51%
CAQ
$4,211 Объем
36%
ПКК
$2,272 Объем
12%
Квебекская партия
$1,363 Объем
6%
QS
$1,148 Объем
2%
PVQ
$632 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead near 28-29%, while the Parti libéral du Québec and Coalition Avenir Québec remain within a few points of each other in the low-to-mid 20s, with the Parti conservateur du Québec climbing to around 16-17%. This positioning leaves third place highly contested among the PLQ, CAQ, and PCQ, as regional variations and undecided voters—still near 10%—create volatility in seat and vote projections. Upcoming leaders’ debates and the final weeks of campaigning before the October 5 election could shift support among francophone and suburban voters, where these parties compete most directly. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty through closely matched probabilities.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Открытие рынка: Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ET
Объем
$13,541Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead near 28-29%, while the Parti libéral du Québec and Coalition Avenir Québec remain within a few points of each other in the low-to-mid 20s, with the Parti conservateur du Québec climbing to around 16-17%. This positioning leaves third place highly contested among the PLQ, CAQ, and PCQ, as regional variations and undecided voters—still near 10%—create volatility in seat and vote projections. Upcoming leaders’ debates and the final weeks of campaigning before the October 5 election could shift support among francophone and suburban voters, where these parties compete most directly. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty through closely matched probabilities.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur, or the results thereof are not known definitively, by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Объем
$13,541Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 27, 2026, 7:30 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows the Parti Québécois maintaining a narrow lead near 28-29%, while the Parti libéral du Québec and Coalition Avenir Québec remain within a few points of each other in the low-to-mid 20s, with the Parti conservateur du Québec climbing to around 16-17%. This positioning leaves third place highly contested among the PLQ, CAQ, and PCQ, as regional variations and undecided voters—still near 10%—create volatility in seat and vote projections. Upcoming leaders’ debates and the final weeks of campaigning before the October 5 election could shift support among francophone and suburban voters, where these parties compete most directly. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty through closely matched probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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