**PQ leads Quebec's October 5, 2026, provincial election as the consistent polling frontrunner, with recent surveys placing it at 28-30% support ahead of the CAQ's 24-27% surge.** The Parti Québécois under Paul St-Pierre Plamondon has held a months-long advantage among francophone voters, its core base, supporting stronger seat projections despite a fragmented National Assembly. The Coalition Avenir Québec, now led by Premier Christine Fréchette since April 2026, has narrowed the gap in the campaign's opening days through gains in Montreal suburbs and among older voters, aided by voter focus on the Canada-U.S. trade tensions. The Quebec Liberal Party trails further back at roughly 20-22%, with limited francophone support, while the Parti Conservateur du Québec and Québec solidaire remain in single digits. Traders price the PQ as the clear favorite based on sustained popular-vote leads and regional dynamics that favor it in most ridings, though the CAQ's momentum and the short campaign window keep a narrower path open for an upset. The election occurs under a new electoral map with 127 divisions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель всеобщих выборов в Квебеке
Победитель всеобщих выборов в Квебеке
Квебекская партия 66%
Коалиция за будущее Квебека 31%
КЛП 6%
КПК <1%
$869,545 Объем
$869,545 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Квебекская партия
66%
Коалиция за будущее Квебека
31%
КЛП
6%
КПК
<1%
ПВК
<1%
QS
<1%
Квебекская партия 66%
Коалиция за будущее Квебека 31%
КЛП 6%
КПК <1%
$869,545 Объем
$869,545 Объем
4 окт. 2026 г.
Квебекская партия
$110,836 Объем
66%
Коалиция за будущее Квебека
$134,994 Объем
31%
КЛП
$121,391 Объем
6%
КПК
$240,279 Объем
<1%
ПВК
$157,522 Объем
<1%
QS
$104,523 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**PQ leads Quebec's October 5, 2026, provincial election as the consistent polling frontrunner, with recent surveys placing it at 28-30% support ahead of the CAQ's 24-27% surge.** The Parti Québécois under Paul St-Pierre Plamondon has held a months-long advantage among francophone voters, its core base, supporting stronger seat projections despite a fragmented National Assembly. The Coalition Avenir Québec, now led by Premier Christine Fréchette since April 2026, has narrowed the gap in the campaign's opening days through gains in Montreal suburbs and among older voters, aided by voter focus on the Canada-U.S. trade tensions.
The Quebec Liberal Party trails further back at roughly 20-22%, with limited francophone support, while the Parti Conservateur du Québec and Québec solidaire remain in single digits. Traders price the PQ as the clear favorite based on sustained popular-vote leads and regional dynamics that favor it in most ridings, though the CAQ's momentum and the short campaign window keep a narrower path open for an upset. The election occurs under a new electoral map with 127 divisions.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Открытие рынка: Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ET
Объем
$869,545Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**PQ leads Quebec's October 5, 2026, provincial election as the consistent polling frontrunner, with recent surveys placing it at 28-30% support ahead of the CAQ's 24-27% surge.** The Parti Québécois under Paul St-Pierre Plamondon has held a months-long advantage among francophone voters, its core base, supporting stronger seat projections despite a fragmented National Assembly. The Coalition Avenir Québec, now led by Premier Christine Fréchette since April 2026, has narrowed the gap in the campaign's opening days through gains in Montreal suburbs and among older voters, aided by voter focus on the Canada-U.S. trade tensions.
The Quebec Liberal Party trails further back at roughly 20-22%, with limited francophone support, while the Parti Conservateur du Québec and Québec solidaire remain in single digits. Traders price the PQ as the clear favorite based on sustained popular-vote leads and regional dynamics that favor it in most ridings, though the CAQ's momentum and the short campaign window keep a narrower path open for an upset. The election occurs under a new electoral map with 127 divisions.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
If voting in the 2026 Quebec general election does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie for the most seats won between this party and any other, this market will resolve in favor of the party that won the most valid votes in the respective election. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Объем
$869,545Дата окончания
5 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 2, 2025, 12:09 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...**PQ leads Quebec's October 5, 2026, provincial election as the consistent polling frontrunner, with recent surveys placing it at 28-30% support ahead of the CAQ's 24-27% surge.** The Parti Québécois under Paul St-Pierre Plamondon has held a months-long advantage among francophone voters, its core base, supporting stronger seat projections despite a fragmented National Assembly. The Coalition Avenir Québec, now led by Premier Christine Fréchette since April 2026, has narrowed the gap in the campaign's opening days through gains in Montreal suburbs and among older voters, aided by voter focus on the Canada-U.S. trade tensions. The Quebec Liberal Party trails further back at roughly 20-22%, with limited francophone support, while the Parti Conservateur du Québec and Québec solidaire remain in single digits. Traders price the PQ as the clear favorite based on sustained popular-vote leads and regional dynamics that favor it in most ridings, though the CAQ's momentum and the short campaign window keep a narrower path open for an upset. The election occurs under a new electoral map with 127 divisions.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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