Recent polling shows a tightly clustered race among Die Linke (around 20-21%), CDU (19-20%), AfD (18%), and Grüne (15-16%), with SPD further back near 12-13% and BSW below the 5% threshold. This narrow spread among the top contenders, just nine days before the September 20 vote for the Abgeordnetenhaus, keeps the contest for fourth place fluid under proportional seat allocation. Trader consensus prices Grüne highest for that position, followed by AfD and CDU, reflecting their relative standings in latest surveys. Small shifts in turnout among core voter blocs or last-minute campaign developments could reorder the middle of the pack, while consistent results would likely lock in the current projected order.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЗелёные 45%
АдГ 22%
СДПГ 15%
ХДС 14.0%
$12,739 Объем
$12,739 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
Зелёные
45%
АдГ
22%
СДПГ
13%
ХДС
19%
Левица
7%
BSW
1%
СвДП
1%
FW
1%
Зелёные 45%
АдГ 22%
СДПГ 15%
ХДС 14.0%
$12,739 Объем
$12,739 Объем
20 сент. 2026 г.
Зелёные
$6,738 Объем
45%
АдГ
$4,163 Объем
22%
СДПГ
$344 Объем
13%
ХДС
$182 Объем
19%
Левица
$738 Объем
7%
BSW
$212 Объем
1%
СвДП
$154 Объем
1%
FW
$209 Объем
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polling shows a tightly clustered race among Die Linke (around 20-21%), CDU (19-20%), AfD (18%), and Grüne (15-16%), with SPD further back near 12-13% and BSW below the 5% threshold. This narrow spread among the top contenders, just nine days before the September 20 vote for the Abgeordnetenhaus, keeps the contest for fourth place fluid under proportional seat allocation. Trader consensus prices Grüne highest for that position, followed by AfD and CDU, reflecting their relative standings in latest surveys. Small shifts in turnout among core voter blocs or last-minute campaign developments could reorder the middle of the pack, while consistent results would likely lock in the current projected order.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Открытие рынка: Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Объем
$12,739Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polling shows a tightly clustered race among Die Linke (around 20-21%), CDU (19-20%), AfD (18%), and Grüne (15-16%), with SPD further back near 12-13% and BSW below the 5% threshold. This narrow spread among the top contenders, just nine days before the September 20 vote for the Abgeordnetenhaus, keeps the contest for fourth place fluid under proportional seat allocation. Trader consensus prices Grüne highest for that position, followed by AfD and CDU, reflecting their relative standings in latest surveys. Small shifts in turnout among core voter blocs or last-minute campaign developments could reorder the middle of the pack, while consistent results would likely lock in the current projected order.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Объем
$12,739Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling shows a tightly clustered race among Die Linke (around 20-21%), CDU (19-20%), AfD (18%), and Grüne (15-16%), with SPD further back near 12-13% and BSW below the 5% threshold. This narrow spread among the top contenders, just nine days before the September 20 vote for the Abgeordnetenhaus, keeps the contest for fourth place fluid under proportional seat allocation. Trader consensus prices Grüne highest for that position, followed by AfD and CDU, reflecting their relative standings in latest surveys. Small shifts in turnout among core voter blocs or last-minute campaign developments could reorder the middle of the pack, while consistent results would likely lock in the current projected order.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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