Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco for first place in the October 4 first round, backed by consistent polling advantages of 30+ points over Flávio Bolsonaro and single-digit support for all other registered candidates. The state's Northeast location reinforces PT's longstanding regional base, with recent surveys from Quaest and Datafolha showing Lula at 54-58% amid high voter commitment levels near 80%. Flávio Bolsonaro registers as the clearest alternative at 19-24%, while names such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos remain marginal. Market pricing reflects this gap, though shifts could arise from late-campaign consolidation among right-leaning voters, changes in turnout patterns, or unforeseen events within the final weeks before voting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПервый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Пернамбуку
Первый тур президентских выборов в Бразилии: 1-е место в Пернамбуку
Лула 95.5%
Флавио Болсонаро 1.5%
Ренан Сантос <1%
Зема <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
Лула
96%
Флавио Болсонаро
2%
Ренан Сантос
<1%
Зема
<1%
Клариана Барао
<1%
Херц Диас
<1%
Пабло Марсал
<1%
Роналду Кайаду
<1%
Руй Кошта Пимента
<1%
Самара
<1%
Ветеринарий Вилсон Грасси
<1%
Эдмилсон Коста
<1%
Писатель Аугусто Кури
<1%
Лула 95.5%
Флавио Болсонаро 1.5%
Ренан Сантос <1%
Зема <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
4 окт. 2026 г.
Лула
$5,641 Объем
96%
Флавио Болсонаро
$382 Объем
2%
Ренан Сантос
$267 Объем
<1%
Зема
$281 Объем
<1%
Клариана Барао
$267 Объем
<1%
Херц Диас
$313 Объем
<1%
Пабло Марсал
$324 Объем
<1%
Роналду Кайаду
$401 Объем
<1%
Руй Кошта Пимента
$324 Объем
<1%
Самара
$281 Объем
<1%
Ветеринарий Вилсон Грасси
$280 Объем
<1%
Эдмилсон Коста
$324 Объем
<1%
Писатель Аугусто Кури
$324 Объем
<1%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco for first place in the October 4 first round, backed by consistent polling advantages of 30+ points over Flávio Bolsonaro and single-digit support for all other registered candidates. The state's Northeast location reinforces PT's longstanding regional base, with recent surveys from Quaest and Datafolha showing Lula at 54-58% amid high voter commitment levels near 80%. Flávio Bolsonaro registers as the clearest alternative at 19-24%, while names such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos remain marginal. Market pricing reflects this gap, though shifts could arise from late-campaign consolidation among right-leaning voters, changes in turnout patterns, or unforeseen events within the final weeks before voting.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
Объем
$9,408Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco for first place in the October 4 first round, backed by consistent polling advantages of 30+ points over Flávio Bolsonaro and single-digit support for all other registered candidates. The state's Northeast location reinforces PT's longstanding regional base, with recent surveys from Quaest and Datafolha showing Lula at 54-58% amid high voter commitment levels near 80%. Flávio Bolsonaro registers as the clearest alternative at 19-24%, while names such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos remain marginal. Market pricing reflects this gap, though shifts could arise from late-campaign consolidation among right-leaning voters, changes in turnout patterns, or unforeseen events within the final weeks before voting.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Pernambuco, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Pernambuco.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Pernambuco. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Объем
$9,408Дата окончания
4 окт. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a commanding lead in Pernambuco for first place in the October 4 first round, backed by consistent polling advantages of 30+ points over Flávio Bolsonaro and single-digit support for all other registered candidates. The state's Northeast location reinforces PT's longstanding regional base, with recent surveys from Quaest and Datafolha showing Lula at 54-58% amid high voter commitment levels near 80%. Flávio Bolsonaro registers as the clearest alternative at 19-24%, while names such as Ronaldo Caiado, Romeu Zema, and Renan Santos remain marginal. Market pricing reflects this gap, though shifts could arise from late-campaign consolidation among right-leaning voters, changes in turnout patterns, or unforeseen events within the final weeks before voting.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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