Incumbent Jim Costa holds a commanding position in California's 21st congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's Democratic lean and his established record there. Costa advanced from the June 2 top-two primary with 42% of the vote, ahead of Republican Kyle Kirkland at 26%, in a district that supported the Democratic candidate by five points in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Likely Democratic, consistent with the district's voter registration edge and Costa's fundraising advantage. Kirkland, a businessman who also ran in an adjacent district previously, faces structural headwinds in a Central Valley constituency with a partisan voting index favoring Democrats. While national political shifts, turnout variations, or unforeseen developments could narrow the gap before Election Day, current indicators point to limited pathways for an upset.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей CA-21
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей CA-21
$27,331 Объем
$27,331 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Джим Коста (Д)
94%
Кайл Киркланд (Р)
7%
$27,331 Объем
$27,331 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Джим Коста (Д)
$15,163 Объем
94%
Кайл Киркланд (Р)
$12,168 Объем
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim Costa holds a commanding position in California's 21st congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's Democratic lean and his established record there. Costa advanced from the June 2 top-two primary with 42% of the vote, ahead of Republican Kyle Kirkland at 26%, in a district that supported the Democratic candidate by five points in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Likely Democratic, consistent with the district's voter registration edge and Costa's fundraising advantage. Kirkland, a businessman who also ran in an adjacent district previously, faces structural headwinds in a Central Valley constituency with a partisan voting index favoring Democrats. While national political shifts, turnout variations, or unforeseen developments could narrow the gap before Election Day, current indicators point to limited pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Объем
$27,331Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Jim Costa holds a commanding position in California's 21st congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's Democratic lean and his established record there. Costa advanced from the June 2 top-two primary with 42% of the vote, ahead of Republican Kyle Kirkland at 26%, in a district that supported the Democratic candidate by five points in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Likely Democratic, consistent with the district's voter registration edge and Costa's fundraising advantage. Kirkland, a businessman who also ran in an adjacent district previously, faces structural headwinds in a Central Valley constituency with a partisan voting index favoring Democrats. While national political shifts, turnout variations, or unforeseen developments could narrow the gap before Election Day, current indicators point to limited pathways for an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$27,331Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Jim Costa holds a commanding position in California's 21st congressional district heading into the November 3 general election, reflecting the seat's Democratic lean and his established record there. Costa advanced from the June 2 top-two primary with 42% of the vote, ahead of Republican Kyle Kirkland at 26%, in a district that supported the Democratic candidate by five points in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan ratings classify the race as Likely Democratic, consistent with the district's voter registration edge and Costa's fundraising advantage. Kirkland, a businessman who also ran in an adjacent district previously, faces structural headwinds in a Central Valley constituency with a partisan voting index favoring Democrats. While national political shifts, turnout variations, or unforeseen developments could narrow the gap before Election Day, current indicators point to limited pathways for an upset.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы