Florida’s 11th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following the August 18, 2026 primaries, with Joe Strada advancing as the GOP nominee after a narrow victory over former state Senator Carey Baker that required a machine recount. The open seat, vacated by retiring Rep. Daniel Webster, encompasses Sumter County and portions of Lake and Orange counties, including The Villages retirement community that has consistently delivered strong Republican margins in prior cycles. Strada, a self-funded businessman who loaned his campaign millions and secured law enforcement endorsements, faces Democrat James Pericola, who won his primary with experience from prior roles in federal government and consulting. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the district as safe or solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that positions the Republican nominee as the heavy favorite ahead of the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей FL-11
$19,846 Объем
$19,846 Объем
Джо Страда (Р)
83%
Джеймс Перикола (Д)
15%
$19,846 Объем
$19,846 Объем
Джо Страда (Р)
83%
Джеймс Перикола (Д)
15%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Кто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Florida’s 11th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following the August 18, 2026 primaries, with Joe Strada advancing as the GOP nominee after a narrow victory over former state Senator Carey Baker that required a machine recount. The open seat, vacated by retiring Rep. Daniel Webster, encompasses Sumter County and portions of Lake and Orange counties, including The Villages retirement community that has consistently delivered strong Republican margins in prior cycles. Strada, a self-funded businessman who loaned his campaign millions and secured law enforcement endorsements, faces Democrat James Pericola, who won his primary with experience from prior roles in federal government and consulting. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the district as safe or solid Republican, aligning with trader consensus that positions the Republican nominee as the heavy favorite ahead of the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено

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