Current numerical weather models, including consensus runs from ECMWF and GFS, indicate a maximum temperature in Milan on September 1 near 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow and minimal precipitation risk. This positions the 30°C outcome at 48% implied probability and 29°C at 30.5% as leading trader consensus, reflecting typical late-summer Po Valley conditions with stable high pressure and seasonal baseline highs around 27–31°C. Recent 48-hour model updates show little dispersion, though slight afternoon mixing or cloud variability could shift the peak by 1°C. Official resolution will rely on verified local station readings at the end of the calendar day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Милане 1 сентября?
30°C 48%
29°C 31%
31°C 13%
28°C 5%
$28,806 Объем
$28,806 Объем
24°C or below
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
31%
30°C
48%
31°C
13%
32°C
3%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 48%
29°C 31%
31°C 13%
28°C 5%
$28,806 Объем
$28,806 Объем
24°C or below
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
31%
30°C
48%
31°C
13%
32°C
3%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 30, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather models, including consensus runs from ECMWF and GFS, indicate a maximum temperature in Milan on September 1 near 29–30°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly flow and minimal precipitation risk. This positions the 30°C outcome at 48% implied probability and 29°C at 30.5% as leading trader consensus, reflecting typical late-summer Po Valley conditions with stable high pressure and seasonal baseline highs around 27–31°C. Recent 48-hour model updates show little dispersion, though slight afternoon mixing or cloud variability could shift the peak by 1°C. Official resolution will rely on verified local station readings at the end of the calendar day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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