**Neon’s wide 1,500-theater rollout for Na Hong-jin’s “Hope” on September 9 is the main factor anchoring trader sentiment, with the 156-minute sci-fi monster thriller facing a midweek launch and a 77% Rotten Tomatoes score that signals solid but not breakout critical reception.** Strong presales and premium-format availability (Dolby, 4DX, IMAX) reflect festival buzz from Cannes and the film’s record South Korean debut of $11.3 million, yet the lengthy runtime, mixed audience expectations for an imported genre title, and September competition limit upside. Historical patterns for non-English-language films and the market’s emphasis on domestic three-day totals (September 11–13) keep sub-$6 million as the clearest favorite at 43.5% implied probability, while 9–10 million sits second at 29%. Upcoming opening-weekend tracking and early word-of-mouth will be the decisive swing factors.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоОткрытие кассы выходного дня «Надежда»
<6 млн 44%
9–10 млн 29%
6–7 млн 27%
7–8 млн 23%
<6 млн
44%
6–7 млн
27%
7–8 млн
23%
8-9 млн
21%
9–10 млн
29%
10 млн+
19%
<6 млн 44%
9–10 млн 29%
6–7 млн 27%
7–8 млн 23%
<6 млн
44%
6–7 млн
27%
7–8 млн
23%
8-9 млн
21%
9–10 млн
29%
10 млн+
19%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Sep 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Кто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Neon’s wide 1,500-theater rollout for Na Hong-jin’s “Hope” on September 9 is the main factor anchoring trader sentiment, with the 156-minute sci-fi monster thriller facing a midweek launch and a 77% Rotten Tomatoes score that signals solid but not breakout critical reception.** Strong presales and premium-format availability (Dolby, 4DX, IMAX) reflect festival buzz from Cannes and the film’s record South Korean debut of $11.3 million, yet the lengthy runtime, mixed audience expectations for an imported genre title, and September competition limit upside. Historical patterns for non-English-language films and the market’s emphasis on domestic three-day totals (September 11–13) keep sub-$6 million as the clearest favorite at 43.5% implied probability, while 9–10 million sits second at 29%. Upcoming opening-weekend tracking and early word-of-mouth will be the decisive swing factors.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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