**Poor critical and audience reception has anchored trader consensus on a sub-$2 million domestic opening weekend for A24’s “Onslaught.”** The Adam Wingard-directed action-horror film, released September 4 across roughly 1,900 theaters on the competitive Labor Day frame, posted an actual $1.88 million three-day debut and roughly $2.3 million four-day total. Mixed reviews (56% on Rotten Tomatoes) and a “C” CinemaScore reflect limited word-of-mouth for its genetically engineered soldier premise and modest scale, especially after Wingard’s prior big-budget successes. With no major marketing surge or positive audience momentum to shift the trajectory, the 98.9% market-implied probability for under $2 million aligns with both pre-release tracking and verified results. An upset above $3 million would require unexpectedly strong holdover or revised reporting, scenarios unsupported by current data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоОткрытие кассы выходного дня «Натиск»
Открытие кассы выходного дня «Натиск»
<2 млн 98.8%
2–3 млн 1.3%
3-4 млн <1%
4–5 млн <1%
$30,809 Объем
$30,809 Объем
6 сент. 2026 г.
<2 млн
99%
2–3 млн
1%
3-4 млн
<1%
4–5 млн
<1%
5-6 млн
<1%
6 млн+
<1%
<2 млн 98.8%
2–3 млн 1.3%
3-4 млн <1%
4–5 млн <1%
$30,809 Объем
$30,809 Объем
6 сент. 2026 г.
<2 млн
$10,653 Объем
99%
2–3 млн
$8,631 Объем
1%
3-4 млн
$6,708 Объем
<1%
4–5 млн
$2,499 Объем
<1%
5-6 млн
$1,444 Объем
<1%
6 млн+
$874 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Poor critical and audience reception has anchored trader consensus on a sub-$2 million domestic opening weekend for A24’s “Onslaught.”** The Adam Wingard-directed action-horror film, released September 4 across roughly 1,900 theaters on the competitive Labor Day frame, posted an actual $1.88 million three-day debut and roughly $2.3 million four-day total. Mixed reviews (56% on Rotten Tomatoes) and a “C” CinemaScore reflect limited word-of-mouth for its genetically engineered soldier premise and modest scale, especially after Wingard’s prior big-budget successes. With no major marketing surge or positive audience momentum to shift the trajectory, the 98.9% market-implied probability for under $2 million aligns with both pre-release tracking and verified results. An upset above $3 million would require unexpectedly strong holdover or revised reporting, scenarios unsupported by current data.
This market will resolve according to how much "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Открытие рынка: Aug 31, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
Объем
$30,809Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 1:11 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Poor critical and audience reception has anchored trader consensus on a sub-$2 million domestic opening weekend for A24’s “Onslaught.”** The Adam Wingard-directed action-horror film, released September 4 across roughly 1,900 theaters on the competitive Labor Day frame, posted an actual $1.88 million three-day debut and roughly $2.3 million four-day total. Mixed reviews (56% on Rotten Tomatoes) and a “C” CinemaScore reflect limited word-of-mouth for its genetically engineered soldier premise and modest scale, especially after Wingard’s prior big-budget successes. With no major marketing surge or positive audience momentum to shift the trajectory, the 98.9% market-implied probability for under $2 million aligns with both pre-release tracking and verified results. An upset above $3 million would require unexpectedly strong holdover or revised reporting, scenarios unsupported by current data.
This market will resolve according to how much "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 4 - 6) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Объем
$30,809Дата окончания
6 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 31, 2026, 1:11 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Poor critical and audience reception has anchored trader consensus on a sub-$2 million domestic opening weekend for A24’s “Onslaught.”** The Adam Wingard-directed action-horror film, released September 4 across roughly 1,900 theaters on the competitive Labor Day frame, posted an actual $1.88 million three-day debut and roughly $2.3 million four-day total. Mixed reviews (56% on Rotten Tomatoes) and a “C” CinemaScore reflect limited word-of-mouth for its genetically engineered soldier premise and modest scale, especially after Wingard’s prior big-budget successes. With no major marketing surge or positive audience momentum to shift the trajectory, the 98.9% market-implied probability for under $2 million aligns with both pre-release tracking and verified results. An upset above $3 million would require unexpectedly strong holdover or revised reporting, scenarios unsupported by current data.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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