Iowa's status as a Republican-leaning state in an open Senate seat contributes to trader positioning favoring Ashley Hinson over Josh Turek, even as polling averages remain close or tied. Hinson benefits from strong primary performance with Trump endorsement, substantial fundraising edge, and endorsements from law enforcement officials amid debates over immigration enforcement and public safety. Turek has highlighted cross-party support and voter concerns on farm input costs and inflation in recent interviews, while mixed September surveys show narrow leads alternating between the candidates. An October Iowa PBS debate and the November 3 general election timeline keep focus on turnout dynamics in this competitive contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат штата Айова
Победитель выборов в Сенат штата Айова
$272,222 Объем
$272,222 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Эшли Хинсон (Р)
61%
Джош Турек (Д)
39%
$272,222 Объем
$272,222 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Эшли Хинсон (Р)
$138,124 Объем
61%
Джош Турек (Д)
$134,098 Объем
39%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's status as a Republican-leaning state in an open Senate seat contributes to trader positioning favoring Ashley Hinson over Josh Turek, even as polling averages remain close or tied. Hinson benefits from strong primary performance with Trump endorsement, substantial fundraising edge, and endorsements from law enforcement officials amid debates over immigration enforcement and public safety. Turek has highlighted cross-party support and voter concerns on farm input costs and inflation in recent interviews, while mixed September surveys show narrow leads alternating between the candidates. An October Iowa PBS debate and the November 3 general election timeline keep focus on turnout dynamics in this competitive contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
Объем
$272,222Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Iowa's status as a Republican-leaning state in an open Senate seat contributes to trader positioning favoring Ashley Hinson over Josh Turek, even as polling averages remain close or tied. Hinson benefits from strong primary performance with Trump endorsement, substantial fundraising edge, and endorsements from law enforcement officials amid debates over immigration enforcement and public safety. Turek has highlighted cross-party support and voter concerns on farm input costs and inflation in recent interviews, while mixed September surveys show narrow leads alternating between the candidates. An October Iowa PBS debate and the November 3 general election timeline keep focus on turnout dynamics in this competitive contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$272,222Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Iowa's status as a Republican-leaning state in an open Senate seat contributes to trader positioning favoring Ashley Hinson over Josh Turek, even as polling averages remain close or tied. Hinson benefits from strong primary performance with Trump endorsement, substantial fundraising edge, and endorsements from law enforcement officials amid debates over immigration enforcement and public safety. Turek has highlighted cross-party support and voter concerns on farm input costs and inflation in recent interviews, while mixed September surveys show narrow leads alternating between the candidates. An October Iowa PBS debate and the November 3 general election timeline keep focus on turnout dynamics in this competitive contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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