Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat features Democratic nominee Peggy Flanagan, the state's lieutenant governor, against Republican Michele Tafoya following August primaries. Traders assign Flanagan a commanding lead due to the state's longstanding Democratic-Farmer-Labor dominance in Senate contests, with no Republican victory since 2002, plus her primary win over Rep. Angie Craig and broad party endorsements. Recent polling averages show a narrowing race with Flanagan holding a slim edge amid undecided voters and tightening in key demographics, yet the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets continues to price in a high probability of Democratic retention. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign turnout surges, independent spending on issues like fraud concerns, or unexpected national political developments before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Миннесоты
Победитель выборов в Сенат Миннесоты
$86,716 Объем
$86,716 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Пегги Фланаган (Д)
93%
Мишель Тафойя (Р)
9%
$86,716 Объем
$86,716 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Пегги Фланаган (Д)
$58,144 Объем
93%
Мишель Тафойя (Р)
$28,572 Объем
9%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat features Democratic nominee Peggy Flanagan, the state's lieutenant governor, against Republican Michele Tafoya following August primaries. Traders assign Flanagan a commanding lead due to the state's longstanding Democratic-Farmer-Labor dominance in Senate contests, with no Republican victory since 2002, plus her primary win over Rep. Angie Craig and broad party endorsements. Recent polling averages show a narrowing race with Flanagan holding a slim edge amid undecided voters and tightening in key demographics, yet the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets continues to price in a high probability of Democratic retention. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign turnout surges, independent spending on issues like fraud concerns, or unexpected national political developments before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Объем
$86,716Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat features Democratic nominee Peggy Flanagan, the state's lieutenant governor, against Republican Michele Tafoya following August primaries. Traders assign Flanagan a commanding lead due to the state's longstanding Democratic-Farmer-Labor dominance in Senate contests, with no Republican victory since 2002, plus her primary win over Rep. Angie Craig and broad party endorsements. Recent polling averages show a narrowing race with Flanagan holding a slim edge amid undecided voters and tightening in key demographics, yet the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets continues to price in a high probability of Democratic retention. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign turnout surges, independent spending on issues like fraud concerns, or unexpected national political developments before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Minnesota U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$86,716Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Minnesota's open U.S. Senate seat features Democratic nominee Peggy Flanagan, the state's lieutenant governor, against Republican Michele Tafoya following August primaries. Traders assign Flanagan a commanding lead due to the state's longstanding Democratic-Farmer-Labor dominance in Senate contests, with no Republican victory since 2002, plus her primary win over Rep. Angie Craig and broad party endorsements. Recent polling averages show a narrowing race with Flanagan holding a slim edge amid undecided voters and tightening in key demographics, yet the wisdom of crowds in prediction markets continues to price in a high probability of Democratic retention. Potential shifts could arise from late-campaign turnout surges, independent spending on issues like fraud concerns, or unexpected national political developments before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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