Pete Stauber holds a strong position as the Republican incumbent in Minnesota’s 8th Congressional District, a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The district’s partisan lean, reflected in recent presidential results favoring Republicans, combined with Stauber’s prior victories by double-digit margins, underpins trader consensus. Trina Swanson secured the Democratic nomination after winning the August 2026 primary and earlier DFL endorsement, but faces structural challenges in a district where Democrats have struggled to compete since 2018. Stauber’s primary win and established fundraising edge further reinforce expectations of continuity absent major shifts before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MN-08
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MN-08
$21,160 Объем
$21,160 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Пит Стаубер (Р)
86%
Трина Свэнсон (Д)
14%
$21,160 Объем
$21,160 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Пит Стаубер (Р)
$11,288 Объем
86%
Трина Свэнсон (Д)
$9,873 Объем
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pete Stauber holds a strong position as the Republican incumbent in Minnesota’s 8th Congressional District, a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The district’s partisan lean, reflected in recent presidential results favoring Republicans, combined with Stauber’s prior victories by double-digit margins, underpins trader consensus. Trina Swanson secured the Democratic nomination after winning the August 2026 primary and earlier DFL endorsement, but faces structural challenges in a district where Democrats have struggled to compete since 2018. Stauber’s primary win and established fundraising edge further reinforce expectations of continuity absent major shifts before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$21,160Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pete Stauber holds a strong position as the Republican incumbent in Minnesota’s 8th Congressional District, a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The district’s partisan lean, reflected in recent presidential results favoring Republicans, combined with Stauber’s prior victories by double-digit margins, underpins trader consensus. Trina Swanson secured the Democratic nomination after winning the August 2026 primary and earlier DFL endorsement, but faces structural challenges in a district where Democrats have struggled to compete since 2018. Stauber’s primary win and established fundraising edge further reinforce expectations of continuity absent major shifts before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$21,160Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Pete Stauber holds a strong position as the Republican incumbent in Minnesota’s 8th Congressional District, a seat rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. The district’s partisan lean, reflected in recent presidential results favoring Republicans, combined with Stauber’s prior victories by double-digit margins, underpins trader consensus. Trina Swanson secured the Democratic nomination after winning the August 2026 primary and earlier DFL endorsement, but faces structural challenges in a district where Democrats have struggled to compete since 2018. Stauber’s primary win and established fundraising edge further reinforce expectations of continuity absent major shifts before November.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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