Kelly Morrison holds a commanding lead in the Minnesota 3rd congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voter index and her 58.4 percent victory in the 2024 general election. As the incumbent first elected that cycle, Morrison secured an uncontested Democratic primary while Republican nominee Tyler Bass prevailed in a competitive August primary against Quentin Wittrock. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s suburban Twin Cities demographics and history of Democratic holds since 2018. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though late-cycle national shifts in voter sentiment or unexpected campaign developments could still narrow margins before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MN-03
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MN-03
$21,966 Объем
$21,966 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Келли Моррисон (Д)
95%
Тайлер Басс (Р)
6%
$21,966 Объем
$21,966 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Келли Моррисон (Д)
$12,428 Объем
95%
Тайлер Басс (Р)
$9,538 Объем
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kelly Morrison holds a commanding lead in the Minnesota 3rd congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voter index and her 58.4 percent victory in the 2024 general election. As the incumbent first elected that cycle, Morrison secured an uncontested Democratic primary while Republican nominee Tyler Bass prevailed in a competitive August primary against Quentin Wittrock. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s suburban Twin Cities demographics and history of Democratic holds since 2018. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though late-cycle national shifts in voter sentiment or unexpected campaign developments could still narrow margins before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$21,966Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Kelly Morrison holds a commanding lead in the Minnesota 3rd congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voter index and her 58.4 percent victory in the 2024 general election. As the incumbent first elected that cycle, Morrison secured an uncontested Democratic primary while Republican nominee Tyler Bass prevailed in a competitive August primary against Quentin Wittrock. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s suburban Twin Cities demographics and history of Democratic holds since 2018. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though late-cycle national shifts in voter sentiment or unexpected campaign developments could still narrow margins before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$21,966Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Kelly Morrison holds a commanding lead in the Minnesota 3rd congressional district race due to the seat’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in its D+11 partisan voter index and her 58.4 percent victory in the 2024 general election. As the incumbent first elected that cycle, Morrison secured an uncontested Democratic primary while Republican nominee Tyler Bass prevailed in a competitive August primary against Quentin Wittrock. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the contest solid or safe Democratic, consistent with the district’s suburban Twin Cities demographics and history of Democratic holds since 2018. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though late-cycle national shifts in voter sentiment or unexpected campaign developments could still narrow margins before the November 3 general election.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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