Tom Emmer’s commanding position in the MN-06 House race reflects the district’s consistent Republican lean, rated R+10 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, combined with his long incumbency and leadership role as House Majority Whip. Emmer secured the Republican nomination in the August 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote and has maintained strong fundraising and local endorsements. Doug Chapin, the Democratic nominee, faces structural headwinds in a fast-growing but Republican-leaning suburban and exurban district where no Democrat has won since 1998. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with Emmer’s prior 62 percent general-election margin. A major scandal, unexpected national Democratic surge, or significant health event could narrow the gap, though current fundamentals and limited polling indicate few near-term catalysts for such a shift.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MN-06
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MN-06
$43,934 Объем
$43,934 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Том Эммер (Р)
91%
Даг Чапин (Д)
8%
$43,934 Объем
$43,934 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Том Эммер (Р)
$24,866 Объем
91%
Даг Чапин (Д)
$19,068 Объем
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Emmer’s commanding position in the MN-06 House race reflects the district’s consistent Republican lean, rated R+10 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, combined with his long incumbency and leadership role as House Majority Whip. Emmer secured the Republican nomination in the August 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote and has maintained strong fundraising and local endorsements. Doug Chapin, the Democratic nominee, faces structural headwinds in a fast-growing but Republican-leaning suburban and exurban district where no Democrat has won since 1998. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with Emmer’s prior 62 percent general-election margin. A major scandal, unexpected national Democratic surge, or significant health event could narrow the gap, though current fundamentals and limited polling indicate few near-term catalysts for such a shift.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$43,934Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tom Emmer’s commanding position in the MN-06 House race reflects the district’s consistent Republican lean, rated R+10 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, combined with his long incumbency and leadership role as House Majority Whip. Emmer secured the Republican nomination in the August 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote and has maintained strong fundraising and local endorsements. Doug Chapin, the Democratic nominee, faces structural headwinds in a fast-growing but Republican-leaning suburban and exurban district where no Democrat has won since 1998. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with Emmer’s prior 62 percent general-election margin. A major scandal, unexpected national Democratic surge, or significant health event could narrow the gap, though current fundamentals and limited polling indicate few near-term catalysts for such a shift.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$43,934Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Tom Emmer’s commanding position in the MN-06 House race reflects the district’s consistent Republican lean, rated R+10 on the Cook Partisan Voter Index, combined with his long incumbency and leadership role as House Majority Whip. Emmer secured the Republican nomination in the August 2026 primary with over 80 percent of the vote and has maintained strong fundraising and local endorsements. Doug Chapin, the Democratic nominee, faces structural headwinds in a fast-growing but Republican-leaning suburban and exurban district where no Democrat has won since 1998. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, aligning with Emmer’s prior 62 percent general-election margin. A major scandal, unexpected national Democratic surge, or significant health event could narrow the gap, though current fundamentals and limited polling indicate few near-term catalysts for such a shift.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы