**President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a clear National Assembly majority (161 of 300 seats), far short of the two-thirds (200 votes) required to pass any impeachment motion under the constitution.** A June 2026 opposition-backed petition quickly gathered over 100,000 signatures and reached committee stage, yet analysts noted it stood no realistic chance of advancing given the ruling party’s control. Lee’s approval rating has fallen to 38.9 percent amid housing-policy discontent and friction with the Supreme Court over justice nominations, but these pressures have not translated into legislative momentum for removal. His criminal trials remain suspended following his June 2025 inauguration, and the opposition People Power Party lacks the seats or cross-aisle support needed to force a vote before the end of 2026. Traders therefore assign only a slim implied probability to impeachment occurring in the remaining months of the term.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЛи Чжэ Мён был подвергнут импичменту до 2027 года?
Ли Чжэ Мён был подвергнут импичменту до 2027 года?
Да
9% вероятность
$21,614 Объем
$21,614 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
9% вероятность
$21,614 Объем
$21,614 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a clear National Assembly majority (161 of 300 seats), far short of the two-thirds (200 votes) required to pass any impeachment motion under the constitution.** A June 2026 opposition-backed petition quickly gathered over 100,000 signatures and reached committee stage, yet analysts noted it stood no realistic chance of advancing given the ruling party’s control. Lee’s approval rating has fallen to 38.9 percent amid housing-policy discontent and friction with the Supreme Court over justice nominations, but these pressures have not translated into legislative momentum for removal. His criminal trials remain suspended following his June 2025 inauguration, and the opposition People Power Party lacks the seats or cross-aisle support needed to force a vote before the end of 2026. Traders therefore assign only a slim implied probability to impeachment occurring in the remaining months of the term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Открытие рынка: Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ET
Объем
$21,614Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.**President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a clear National Assembly majority (161 of 300 seats), far short of the two-thirds (200 votes) required to pass any impeachment motion under the constitution.** A June 2026 opposition-backed petition quickly gathered over 100,000 signatures and reached committee stage, yet analysts noted it stood no realistic chance of advancing given the ruling party’s control. Lee’s approval rating has fallen to 38.9 percent amid housing-policy discontent and friction with the Supreme Court over justice nominations, but these pressures have not translated into legislative momentum for removal. His criminal trials remain suspended following his June 2025 inauguration, and the opposition People Power Party lacks the seats or cross-aisle support needed to force a vote before the end of 2026. Traders therefore assign only a slim implied probability to impeachment occurring in the remaining months of the term.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of South Korea, Lee Jae-myung, is formally impeached by the South Korean National Assembly by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the National Assembly propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lee Jae-myung, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment.
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the South Korean government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Объем
$21,614Дата окончания
1 янв. 2027 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 5, 2025, 2:32 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...**President Lee Jae-myung’s Democratic Party holds a clear National Assembly majority (161 of 300 seats), far short of the two-thirds (200 votes) required to pass any impeachment motion under the constitution.** A June 2026 opposition-backed petition quickly gathered over 100,000 signatures and reached committee stage, yet analysts noted it stood no realistic chance of advancing given the ruling party’s control. Lee’s approval rating has fallen to 38.9 percent amid housing-policy discontent and friction with the Supreme Court over justice nominations, but these pressures have not translated into legislative momentum for removal. His criminal trials remain suspended following his June 2025 inauguration, and the opposition People Power Party lacks the seats or cross-aisle support needed to force a vote before the end of 2026. Traders therefore assign only a slim implied probability to impeachment occurring in the remaining months of the term.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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