Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding lead in Michigan's 2nd congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the district's strong Republican tilt and his established position. Moolenaar advanced unopposed through the August 4 Republican primary after winning reelection in 2024 with 65.1 percent of the vote, while Democrat Ben Ambrose narrowly secured his party's nomination in a competitive primary. Forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's R+15 partisan lean and Moolenaar's substantial fundraising edge. Trader consensus assigns him near-certain odds because the seat has favored Republicans in recent cycles and the Democratic challenger lacks comparable resources or name recognition. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national political shift, or health-related withdrawal could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей MI-02
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MI-02
$53,943 Объем
$53,943 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Джон Муленаар (Р)
98%
Бен Амброуз (Д)
1%
$53,943 Объем
$53,943 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Джон Муленаар (Р)
$22,752 Объем
98%
Бен Амброуз (Д)
$31,190 Объем
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding lead in Michigan's 2nd congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the district's strong Republican tilt and his established position. Moolenaar advanced unopposed through the August 4 Republican primary after winning reelection in 2024 with 65.1 percent of the vote, while Democrat Ben Ambrose narrowly secured his party's nomination in a competitive primary. Forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's R+15 partisan lean and Moolenaar's substantial fundraising edge. Trader consensus assigns him near-certain odds because the seat has favored Republicans in recent cycles and the Democratic challenger lacks comparable resources or name recognition. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national political shift, or health-related withdrawal could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$53,943Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding lead in Michigan's 2nd congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the district's strong Republican tilt and his established position. Moolenaar advanced unopposed through the August 4 Republican primary after winning reelection in 2024 with 65.1 percent of the vote, while Democrat Ben Ambrose narrowly secured his party's nomination in a competitive primary. Forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's R+15 partisan lean and Moolenaar's substantial fundraising edge. Trader consensus assigns him near-certain odds because the seat has favored Republicans in recent cycles and the Democratic challenger lacks comparable resources or name recognition. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national political shift, or health-related withdrawal could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$53,943Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John Moolenaar holds a commanding lead in Michigan's 2nd congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, reflecting the district's strong Republican tilt and his established position. Moolenaar advanced unopposed through the August 4 Republican primary after winning reelection in 2024 with 65.1 percent of the vote, while Democrat Ben Ambrose narrowly secured his party's nomination in a competitive primary. Forecasters rate the seat as Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with the district's R+15 partisan lean and Moolenaar's substantial fundraising edge. Trader consensus assigns him near-certain odds because the seat has favored Republicans in recent cycles and the Democratic challenger lacks comparable resources or name recognition. Late developments such as a major scandal, unexpected national political shift, or health-related withdrawal could still alter the outcome before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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