Donavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 13th Congressional District after defeating incumbent Shri Thanedar in the August 2026 primary by a narrow margin in this heavily Democratic Wayne County seat centered on Detroit. The district’s consistent partisan lean, combined with McKinney’s endorsements from progressive figures and labor groups, has positioned the nominee as the clear frontrunner against Republican Taras “T.P.” Nykoriak in the November general election. Traders assign overwhelming probability to McKinney based on the seat’s electoral history and the absence of competitive opposition. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or turnout surge could theoretically alter the outcome, though such shifts remain improbable given structural factors.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Палату представителей МИ-13
Победитель выборов в Палату представителей МИ-13
$49,552 Объем
$49,552 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Донавэн МакКинни (Д)
98%
Т.П. Никоряк (Р)
<1%
$49,552 Объем
$49,552 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Донавэн МакКинни (Д)
$29,313 Объем
98%
Т.П. Никоряк (Р)
$20,239 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Donavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 13th Congressional District after defeating incumbent Shri Thanedar in the August 2026 primary by a narrow margin in this heavily Democratic Wayne County seat centered on Detroit. The district’s consistent partisan lean, combined with McKinney’s endorsements from progressive figures and labor groups, has positioned the nominee as the clear frontrunner against Republican Taras “T.P.” Nykoriak in the November general election. Traders assign overwhelming probability to McKinney based on the seat’s electoral history and the absence of competitive opposition. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or turnout surge could theoretically alter the outcome, though such shifts remain improbable given structural factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Объем
$49,552Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Donavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 13th Congressional District after defeating incumbent Shri Thanedar in the August 2026 primary by a narrow margin in this heavily Democratic Wayne County seat centered on Detroit. The district’s consistent partisan lean, combined with McKinney’s endorsements from progressive figures and labor groups, has positioned the nominee as the clear frontrunner against Republican Taras “T.P.” Nykoriak in the November general election. Traders assign overwhelming probability to McKinney based on the seat’s electoral history and the absence of competitive opposition. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or turnout surge could theoretically alter the outcome, though such shifts remain improbable given structural factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$49,552Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Donavan McKinney secured the Democratic nomination for Michigan’s 13th Congressional District after defeating incumbent Shri Thanedar in the August 2026 primary by a narrow margin in this heavily Democratic Wayne County seat centered on Detroit. The district’s consistent partisan lean, combined with McKinney’s endorsements from progressive figures and labor groups, has positioned the nominee as the clear frontrunner against Republican Taras “T.P.” Nykoriak in the November general election. Traders assign overwhelming probability to McKinney based on the seat’s electoral history and the absence of competitive opposition. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or turnout surge could theoretically alter the outcome, though such shifts remain improbable given structural factors.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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