Valerie Foushee holds a commanding lead in the NC-04 race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+23 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. As incumbent, she secured the Democratic nomination in a March 2026 primary decided by under one percentage point and now faces Republican Mahesh Ganorkar, who advanced unopposed with limited fundraising. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or health event could theoretically alter the outcome in the final weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNC-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NC-04 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$45,931 Объем
$45,931 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Валери Фуши (Д)
96%
Макс Ганоркар (Р)
3%
$45,931 Объем
$45,931 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Валери Фуши (Д)
$14,906 Объем
96%
Макс Ганоркар (Р)
$31,025 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Valerie Foushee holds a commanding lead in the NC-04 race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+23 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. As incumbent, she secured the Democratic nomination in a March 2026 primary decided by under one percentage point and now faces Republican Mahesh Ganorkar, who advanced unopposed with limited fundraising. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or health event could theoretically alter the outcome in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$45,931Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Valerie Foushee holds a commanding lead in the NC-04 race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+23 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. As incumbent, she secured the Democratic nomination in a March 2026 primary decided by under one percentage point and now faces Republican Mahesh Ganorkar, who advanced unopposed with limited fundraising. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or health event could theoretically alter the outcome in the final weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$45,931Дата окончания
4 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Valerie Foushee holds a commanding lead in the NC-04 race due to the district’s strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+23 partisan voting index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. As incumbent, she secured the Democratic nomination in a March 2026 primary decided by under one percentage point and now faces Republican Mahesh Ganorkar, who advanced unopposed with limited fundraising. Multiple forecasters rate the seat Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3 general election. Trader consensus aligns with these structural factors, though an unforeseen late development such as a major scandal or health event could theoretically alter the outcome in the final weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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