Pat Harrigan secured the Republican nomination with nearly 88 percent of the primary vote against a single challenger, entering the November general election as the incumbent in a district rated R+9 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index and assessed as Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. The district’s consistent Republican performance, including Harrigan’s 2024 victory, underpins trader pricing that heavily favors his re-election. Ashley Bell advanced from a fragmented Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat last won by a Democrat decades ago. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national Democratic surge, a significant personal or campaign development affecting Harrigan, or unusually high Democratic turnout in Forsyth County, though current evidence points to limited near-term shifts before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNC-10 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
NC-10 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Пэт Харриган (Р)
95%
Эшли Белл (Д)
3%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Пэт Харриган (Р)
$3,831 Объем
95%
Эшли Белл (Д)
$4,709 Объем
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pat Harrigan secured the Republican nomination with nearly 88 percent of the primary vote against a single challenger, entering the November general election as the incumbent in a district rated R+9 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index and assessed as Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. The district’s consistent Republican performance, including Harrigan’s 2024 victory, underpins trader pricing that heavily favors his re-election. Ashley Bell advanced from a fragmented Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat last won by a Democrat decades ago. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national Democratic surge, a significant personal or campaign development affecting Harrigan, or unusually high Democratic turnout in Forsyth County, though current evidence points to limited near-term shifts before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Объем
$8,540Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pat Harrigan secured the Republican nomination with nearly 88 percent of the primary vote against a single challenger, entering the November general election as the incumbent in a district rated R+9 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index and assessed as Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. The district’s consistent Republican performance, including Harrigan’s 2024 victory, underpins trader pricing that heavily favors his re-election. Ashley Bell advanced from a fragmented Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat last won by a Democrat decades ago. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national Democratic surge, a significant personal or campaign development affecting Harrigan, or unusually high Democratic turnout in Forsyth County, though current evidence points to limited near-term shifts before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$8,540Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Pat Harrigan secured the Republican nomination with nearly 88 percent of the primary vote against a single challenger, entering the November general election as the incumbent in a district rated R+9 by the Cook Partisan Voting Index and assessed as Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. The district’s consistent Republican performance, including Harrigan’s 2024 victory, underpins trader pricing that heavily favors his re-election. Ashley Bell advanced from a fragmented Democratic primary but faces structural headwinds in a seat last won by a Democrat decades ago. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unforeseen national Democratic surge, a significant personal or campaign development affecting Harrigan, or unusually high Democratic turnout in Forsyth County, though current evidence points to limited near-term shifts before Election Day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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