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icon for NE-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
Политика·Выборы 4 ноября

NE-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей

icon for NE-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
Политика·Выборы 4 ноября

NE-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей

Polymarket

$40,399 Объем

Polymarket

$40,399 Объем

Майк Флад (Р)

$18,875 Объем

82%

Крис Бакемейер (Д)

$21,525 Объем

19%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Flood holds a strong position in Nebraska's 1st Congressional District due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 2024 margin and the district's Cook Partisan Voter Index. Flood advanced unopposed in the May 2026 Republican primary after winning the seat in 2022 and 2024, while Democrat Chris Backemeyer secured his party's nomination with 57.6% of the primary vote. Recent forecasts rate the race as likely Republican, citing Flood's incumbency, fundraising edge, and the district's eastern Nebraska voter base encompassing Omaha suburbs and Lincoln. Democratic efforts, including DCCC battleground designation, have drawn attention to the contest, yet the structural advantages sustain trader consensus around an 81.5% implied probability for Flood ahead of the November 3 general election.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$40,399
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Flood holds a strong position in Nebraska's 1st Congressional District due to the area's consistent Republican lean, reflected in Donald Trump's 2024 margin and the district's Cook Partisan Voter Index. Flood advanced unopposed in the May 2026 Republican primary after winning the seat in 2022 and 2024, while Democrat Chris Backemeyer secured his party's nomination with 57.6% of the primary vote. Recent forecasts rate the race as likely Republican, citing Flood's incumbency, fundraising edge, and the district's eastern Nebraska voter base encompassing Omaha suburbs and Lincoln. Democratic efforts, including DCCC battleground designation, have drawn attention to the contest, yet the structural advantages sustain trader consensus around an 81.5% implied probability for Flood ahead of the November 3 general election.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$40,399
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу NE-02?

Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу NE-02?

91%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу NH-01?

Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу NH-01?

91%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Республиканская партия место в Палате представителей по округу NE-03?

Выиграет ли Республиканская партия место в Палате представителей по округу NE-03?

97%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«NE-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Майк Флад (Р)» с 82%, за ним следует «Крис Бакемейер (Д)» с 19%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 82¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 82%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «NE-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $40.4K с момента запуска рынка Jan 28, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «NE-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «NE-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей» — «Майк Флад (Р)» с 82%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 82%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Крис Бакемейер (Д)» с 19%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «NE-01 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.