DeepSeek's rapid iteration on its V4 series drives trader focus, with the July 31, 2026 official release of V4-Flash-0731 establishing strong agentic benchmarks through post-training upgrades on its 284B-parameter MoE architecture while keeping costs low at roughly $0.14–0.28 per million tokens. The most immediate catalyst is the unannounced internal beta launch of V4.1 Flash in early September 2026, featuring a new model architecture, native multimodal support, and an expiration date of September 10 that signals accelerated testing ahead of broader availability. This follows DeepSeek's recruitment of 150 engineers and positions the lab competitively against frontier labs by emphasizing efficiency gains and open weights. Traders watch for confirmation of an official V4.1 rollout or Pro-tier updates, as short timelines between previews and production releases remain typical for the company.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСледующая DeepSeek Flash выпущена...?
30 сентября
95%
30 ноября
97%
$7,847 Объем
30 сентября
95%
30 ноября
97%
A qualifying model must be part of DeepSeek's core model series (currently the V-series), have a name or model identifier that includes "DeepSeek" and "Flash," and be a new model release designated as newer than DeepSeek-V4-Flash-0731, regardless of capitalization or naming convention, including subsequently dated builds, decimal version increases, or new generations. For example, a later dated build named in the same manner as DeepSeek-V4-Flash-0731, a decimal increase such as DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash, or a new generation such as DeepSeek-V5-Flash would qualify, while side or specialized models, such as Janus-Pro or DeepSeek-OCR, or models which are not newer releases than DeepSeek-V4-Flash-0731, such as DeepSeek-V4-Pro or the existing DeepSeek-V4-Flash-0731, will not qualify. A qualifying release must carry a new, distinct model identifier or date designation; updates published under an unchanged identifier will not qualify. If DeepSeek releases a single unified successor without tier naming, it will qualify if it replaces or serves DeepSeek's lite or Flash endpoint or is positioned as DeepSeek's fast, low-cost model.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 5:51 PM ET
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...A qualifying model must be part of DeepSeek's core model series (currently the V-series), have a name or model identifier that includes "DeepSeek" and "Flash," and be a new model release designated as newer than DeepSeek-V4-Flash-0731, regardless of capitalization or naming convention, including subsequently dated builds, decimal version increases, or new generations. For example, a later dated build named in the same manner as DeepSeek-V4-Flash-0731, a decimal increase such as DeepSeek-V4.1-Flash, or a new generation such as DeepSeek-V5-Flash would qualify, while side or specialized models, such as Janus-Pro or DeepSeek-OCR, or models which are not newer releases than DeepSeek-V4-Flash-0731, such as DeepSeek-V4-Pro or the existing DeepSeek-V4-Flash-0731, will not qualify. A qualifying release must carry a new, distinct model identifier or date designation; updates published under an unchanged identifier will not qualify. If DeepSeek releases a single unified successor without tier naming, it will qualify if it replaces or serves DeepSeek's lite or Flash endpoint or is positioned as DeepSeek's fast, low-cost model.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by DeepSeek as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from DeepSeek, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Кто определяет исход
0x65070BE91...DeepSeek's rapid iteration on its V4 series drives trader focus, with the July 31, 2026 official release of V4-Flash-0731 establishing strong agentic benchmarks through post-training upgrades on its 284B-parameter MoE architecture while keeping costs low at roughly $0.14–0.28 per million tokens. The most immediate catalyst is the unannounced internal beta launch of V4.1 Flash in early September 2026, featuring a new model architecture, native multimodal support, and an expiration date of September 10 that signals accelerated testing ahead of broader availability. This follows DeepSeek's recruitment of 150 engineers and positions the lab competitively against frontier labs by emphasizing efficiency gains and open weights. Traders watch for confirmation of an official V4.1 rollout or Pro-tier updates, as short timelines between previews and production releases remain typical for the company.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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