Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli holds a commanding position in the Ohio 6th congressional district race due to the area's strong Republican lean, his 2024 general election margin exceeding 33 points, and decisive primary victories that cleared the field early. Multiple independent forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Democratic nominee Elizabeth Kirtley emerged from a fragmented primary but faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing Appalachian Ohio and the Mahoning Valley. The current trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, including incumbency advantages and fundraising disparities. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still narrow the gap, though none have materialized in recent months.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOH-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
OH-06 Победитель выборов в Палату представителей
$68,650 Объем
$68,650 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Майкл Рулли (Р)
95%
Элизабет Кёртли (Д)
5%
$68,650 Объем
$68,650 Объем
2 нояб. 2026 г.
Майкл Рулли (Р)
$25,732 Объем
95%
Элизабет Кёртли (Д)
$42,918 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli holds a commanding position in the Ohio 6th congressional district race due to the area's strong Republican lean, his 2024 general election margin exceeding 33 points, and decisive primary victories that cleared the field early. Multiple independent forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Democratic nominee Elizabeth Kirtley emerged from a fragmented primary but faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing Appalachian Ohio and the Mahoning Valley. The current trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, including incumbency advantages and fundraising disparities. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still narrow the gap, though none have materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Открытие рынка: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Объем
$68,650Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli holds a commanding position in the Ohio 6th congressional district race due to the area's strong Republican lean, his 2024 general election margin exceeding 33 points, and decisive primary victories that cleared the field early. Multiple independent forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Democratic nominee Elizabeth Kirtley emerged from a fragmented primary but faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing Appalachian Ohio and the Mahoning Valley. The current trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, including incumbency advantages and fundraising disparities. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still narrow the gap, though none have materialized in recent months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$68,650Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETКто определяет исход
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Michael Rulli holds a commanding position in the Ohio 6th congressional district race due to the area's strong Republican lean, his 2024 general election margin exceeding 33 points, and decisive primary victories that cleared the field early. Multiple independent forecasters rate the seat as solid or safe Republican ahead of the November 3 general election. Democratic nominee Elizabeth Kirtley emerged from a fragmented primary but faces structural headwinds in a district encompassing Appalachian Ohio and the Mahoning Valley. The current trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, including incumbency advantages and fundraising disparities. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or sharp national partisan swing could still narrow the gap, though none have materialized in recent months.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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