Trader consensus assigns Anthropic a 59% implied probability of ranking second in Code Arena WebDev AI benchmarks by end of October, reflecting its Claude models' demonstrated strengths in code generation, debugging, and web development tasks relative to competitors. OpenAI trails at 30% amid ongoing GPT iterations, while a broad field of labs including Google, Meta, and specialized players sit near even odds around 50% or lower, underscoring fragmented performance data and rapid iteration cycles. Key differentiators include benchmark scores on coding arenas, integration with developer tools, and model scale versus specialized fine-tuning for web frameworks. Upcoming model releases or capability demos through October could shift these probabilities as traders weigh verified progress against typical timeline slips in AI development.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоВторой лучший Code Arena WebDev AI Lab в конце октября?
Второй лучший Code Arena WebDev AI Lab в конце октября?
Anthropic 58.9%
OpenAI 30%
SpaceXAI 5.1%
Alibaba 3.5%
$23,601 Объем
$23,601 Объем
31 окт. 2026 г.
Anthropic
59%
OpenAI
30%
SpaceXAI
5%
Alibaba
4%
DeepSeek
3%
Moonshot
2%
Z.ai
2%
1%
Xiaomi
1%
Meta
1%
Tencent
1%
Poolside
1%
ByteDance
1%
Thinky
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Mistral
<1%
Anthropic 58.9%
OpenAI 30%
SpaceXAI 5.1%
Alibaba 3.5%
$23,601 Объем
$23,601 Объем
31 окт. 2026 г.
Anthropic
$4,215 Объем
59%
OpenAI
$4,156 Объем
30%
SpaceXAI
$656 Объем
5%
Alibaba
$1,876 Объем
4%
DeepSeek
$707 Объем
3%
Moonshot
$4,961 Объем
2%
Z.ai
$680 Объем
2%
$704 Объем
1%
Xiaomi
$414 Объем
1%
Meta
$822 Объем
1%
Tencent
$672 Объем
1%
Poolside
$999 Объем
1%
ByteDance
$695 Объем
1%
Thinky
$686 Объем
<1%
MiniMax
$560 Объем
<1%
Mistral
$799 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus assigns Anthropic a 59% implied probability of ranking second in Code Arena WebDev AI benchmarks by end of October, reflecting its Claude models' demonstrated strengths in code generation, debugging, and web development tasks relative to competitors. OpenAI trails at 30% amid ongoing GPT iterations, while a broad field of labs including Google, Meta, and specialized players sit near even odds around 50% or lower, underscoring fragmented performance data and rapid iteration cycles. Key differentiators include benchmark scores on coding arenas, integration with developer tools, and model scale versus specialized fine-tuning for web frameworks. Upcoming model releases or capability demos through October could shift these probabilities as traders weigh verified progress against typical timeline slips in AI development.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Открытие рынка: Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ET
Объем
$23,601Дата окончания
1 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Trader consensus assigns Anthropic a 59% implied probability of ranking second in Code Arena WebDev AI benchmarks by end of October, reflecting its Claude models' demonstrated strengths in code generation, debugging, and web development tasks relative to competitors. OpenAI trails at 30% amid ongoing GPT iterations, while a broad field of labs including Google, Meta, and specialized players sit near even odds around 50% or lower, underscoring fragmented performance data and rapid iteration cycles. Key differentiators include benchmark scores on coding arenas, integration with developer tools, and model scale versus specialized fine-tuning for web frameworks. Upcoming model releases or capability demos through October could shift these probabilities as traders weigh verified progress against typical timeline slips in AI development.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard when the table under "Code Arena | WebDev" filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Code Arena | WebDev" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/code/webdev?rankBy=labs (Overall) filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by which model is listed higher on the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Code Arena | WebDev Leaderboard. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Объем
$23,601Дата окончания
1 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 12, 2026, 7:56 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns Anthropic a 59% implied probability of ranking second in Code Arena WebDev AI benchmarks by end of October, reflecting its Claude models' demonstrated strengths in code generation, debugging, and web development tasks relative to competitors. OpenAI trails at 30% amid ongoing GPT iterations, while a broad field of labs including Google, Meta, and specialized players sit near even odds around 50% or lower, underscoring fragmented performance data and rapid iteration cycles. Key differentiators include benchmark scores on coding arenas, integration with developer tools, and model scale versus specialized fine-tuning for web frameworks. Upcoming model releases or capability demos through October could shift these probabilities as traders weigh verified progress against typical timeline slips in AI development.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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