**Sweden Democrats maintain a narrow but consistent polling edge over the Moderate Party in the final weeks before the September 13 election.** Recent surveys from Indikator Opinion, Demoskop, Ipsos, and others show the Social Democrats leading overall at roughly 30–31%, followed by SD at 19–20% and Moderates at 17–19%, with the gap between SD and M typically within the margin of error but favoring SD in most aggregates. The right-wing Tidö bloc has narrowed the opposition’s lead since June amid campaign emphasis on crime, immigration, security, and living costs, yet individual party trends keep SD positioned for second place. The Liberals remain below the 4% threshold, while smaller parties show limited movement. Trader consensus reflects these late-campaign dynamics, with SD holding the implied probability advantage for finishing ahead of the Moderates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоSweden Democrats (SD) 68%
Moderate Party (M) 32%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) <1%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$49,685 Объем
$49,685 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
68%
Moderate Party (M)
32%
Centre Party (C)
<1%
Left Party (V)
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%
Green Party (MP)
<1%
Liberals (L)
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 68%
Moderate Party (M) 32%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) <1%
Centre Party (C) <1%
$49,685 Объем
$49,685 Объем
12 сент. 2026 г.
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$5,686 Объем
1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$16,950 Объем
68%
Moderate Party (M)
$11,734 Объем
32%
Centre Party (C)
$2,242 Объем
<1%
Left Party (V)
$5,350 Объем
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$2,352 Объем
<1%
Green Party (MP)
$1,781 Объем
<1%
Liberals (L)
$1,901 Объем
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$1,689 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).**Sweden Democrats maintain a narrow but consistent polling edge over the Moderate Party in the final weeks before the September 13 election.** Recent surveys from Indikator Opinion, Demoskop, Ipsos, and others show the Social Democrats leading overall at roughly 30–31%, followed by SD at 19–20% and Moderates at 17–19%, with the gap between SD and M typically within the margin of error but favoring SD in most aggregates. The right-wing Tidö bloc has narrowed the opposition’s lead since June amid campaign emphasis on crime, immigration, security, and living costs, yet individual party trends keep SD positioned for second place. The Liberals remain below the 4% threshold, while smaller parties show limited movement. Trader consensus reflects these late-campaign dynamics, with SD holding the implied probability advantage for finishing ahead of the Moderates.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Открытие рынка: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Объем
$49,685Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).**Sweden Democrats maintain a narrow but consistent polling edge over the Moderate Party in the final weeks before the September 13 election.** Recent surveys from Indikator Opinion, Demoskop, Ipsos, and others show the Social Democrats leading overall at roughly 30–31%, followed by SD at 19–20% and Moderates at 17–19%, with the gap between SD and M typically within the margin of error but favoring SD in most aggregates. The right-wing Tidö bloc has narrowed the opposition’s lead since June amid campaign emphasis on crime, immigration, security, and living costs, yet individual party trends keep SD positioned for second place. The Liberals remain below the 4% threshold, while smaller parties show limited movement. Trader consensus reflects these late-campaign dynamics, with SD holding the implied probability advantage for finishing ahead of the Moderates.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Объем
$49,685Дата окончания
13 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETКто определяет исход
0x69c47De9D...**Sweden Democrats maintain a narrow but consistent polling edge over the Moderate Party in the final weeks before the September 13 election.** Recent surveys from Indikator Opinion, Demoskop, Ipsos, and others show the Social Democrats leading overall at roughly 30–31%, followed by SD at 19–20% and Moderates at 17–19%, with the gap between SD and M typically within the margin of error but favoring SD in most aggregates. The right-wing Tidö bloc has narrowed the opposition’s lead since June amid campaign emphasis on crime, immigration, security, and living costs, yet individual party trends keep SD positioned for second place. The Liberals remain below the 4% threshold, while smaller parties show limited movement. Trader consensus reflects these late-campaign dynamics, with SD holding the implied probability advantage for finishing ahead of the Moderates.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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