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icon for Победитель выборов в Сенат штата Теннесси

Победитель выборов в Сенат штата Теннесси

icon for Победитель выборов в Сенат штата Теннесси

Победитель выборов в Сенат штата Теннесси

Polymarket

$29,907 Объем

Polymarket

$29,907 Объем

icon for Билл Хагерти (Р)

Билл Хагерти (Р)

$19,518 Объем

96%

icon for Маркита Брэдшоу (Д)

Маркита Брэдшоу (Д)

$10,390 Объем

4%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's solidly Republican electorate and Bill Hagerty's position as incumbent drive the overwhelming trader consensus favoring his reelection. The state delivered Republican presidential margins near 30 points in recent cycles, and Hagerty secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the August primary while Democrat Marquita Bradshaw prevailed in her party's contest. Fundraising data shows Hagerty holding millions in reserves against minimal opposition resources. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with historical patterns where the party has held the seat since 1994. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural and polling fundamentals leave limited room for such shifts before the November 3 contest.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$29,907
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Tennessee's solidly Republican electorate and Bill Hagerty's position as incumbent drive the overwhelming trader consensus favoring his reelection. The state delivered Republican presidential margins near 30 points in recent cycles, and Hagerty secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the August primary while Democrat Marquita Bradshaw prevailed in her party's contest. Fundraising data shows Hagerty holding millions in reserves against minimal opposition resources. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with historical patterns where the party has held the seat since 1994. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event, or unusually high Democratic turnout could narrow the margin, though structural and polling fundamentals leave limited room for such shifts before the November 3 contest.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$29,907
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов в Сенат штата Теннесси» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Билл Хагерти (Р)» с 96%, за ним следует «Маркита Брэдшоу (Д)» с 4%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 96¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 96%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Победитель выборов в Сенат штата Теннесси» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $29.9K с момента запуска рынка Oct 13, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов в Сенат штата Теннесси», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов в Сенат штата Теннесси» — «Билл Хагерти (Р)» с 96%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 96%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Маркита Брэдшоу (Д)» с 4%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов в Сенат штата Теннесси» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.