Republican incumbent Nick Begich advanced from Alaska’s August 18 top-four primary alongside independent Bill Hill, Democrat Eric Hafner, and Libertarian Jim McDermott for the November 3 general election in the state’s at-large House district. Recent polling, including a September AARP survey, shows Begich leading first-round preferences and expanding his advantage under ranked-choice tabulation, consistent with the state’s Republican tilt in federal contests and the absence of a strong Democratic challenger after earlier candidates withdrew. Traders assign the Republican Party an 86.5% implied probability, reflecting Begich’s incumbency, fundraising edge, and the limited path for Democratic or independent consolidation to overcome structural partisan advantages in the district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAK-AL House Election Winner
AK-AL House Election Winner
$43,966 ปริมาณ
$43,966 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
6%
$43,966 ปริมาณ
$43,966 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$12,808 ปริมาณ
87%
Democratic Party
$31,157 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Nick Begich advanced from Alaska’s August 18 top-four primary alongside independent Bill Hill, Democrat Eric Hafner, and Libertarian Jim McDermott for the November 3 general election in the state’s at-large House district. Recent polling, including a September AARP survey, shows Begich leading first-round preferences and expanding his advantage under ranked-choice tabulation, consistent with the state’s Republican tilt in federal contests and the absence of a strong Democratic challenger after earlier candidates withdrew. Traders assign the Republican Party an 86.5% implied probability, reflecting Begich’s incumbency, fundraising edge, and the limited path for Democratic or independent consolidation to overcome structural partisan advantages in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43,966วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Nick Begich advanced from Alaska’s August 18 top-four primary alongside independent Bill Hill, Democrat Eric Hafner, and Libertarian Jim McDermott for the November 3 general election in the state’s at-large House district. Recent polling, including a September AARP survey, shows Begich leading first-round preferences and expanding his advantage under ranked-choice tabulation, consistent with the state’s Republican tilt in federal contests and the absence of a strong Democratic challenger after earlier candidates withdrew. Traders assign the Republican Party an 86.5% implied probability, reflecting Begich’s incumbency, fundraising edge, and the limited path for Democratic or independent consolidation to overcome structural partisan advantages in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AK-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$43,966วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 5:46 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Nick Begich advanced from Alaska’s August 18 top-four primary alongside independent Bill Hill, Democrat Eric Hafner, and Libertarian Jim McDermott for the November 3 general election in the state’s at-large House district. Recent polling, including a September AARP survey, shows Begich leading first-round preferences and expanding his advantage under ranked-choice tabulation, consistent with the state’s Republican tilt in federal contests and the absence of a strong Democratic challenger after earlier candidates withdrew. Traders assign the Republican Party an 86.5% implied probability, reflecting Begich’s incumbency, fundraising edge, and the limited path for Democratic or independent consolidation to overcome structural partisan advantages in the district.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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