United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for securing the most seats in the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election due to its status as the incumbent ruling party, extensive single-member district nominations, and alignment with presidential priorities amid wartime conditions. The party’s recent congress approved a national program emphasizing economic measures and veteran integration, reinforcing its organizational edge in the mixed electoral system of party lists and constituencies. New People has emerged as the clearest challenger in some polling, buoyed by candidate registration and modest gains among urban voters, though systemic constraints limit opposition breakthroughs. Recent Supreme Court rulings barring Yabloko’s federal list and the exclusion of independent monitors further narrow competitive space, while the inclusion of war veterans across pro-government slates underscores continuity in the controlled political environment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วพรรคใดจะได้ที่นั่งมากที่สุดในการเลือกตั้งรัฐสภารัสเซีย?
พรรคใดจะได้ที่นั่งมากที่สุดในการเลือกตั้งรัฐสภารัสเซีย?
รัสเซียรวม (ER) 70%
พรรคผู้คนใหม่ (NL) 25.1%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยแห่งรัสเซีย (LDPR) 4.3%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF) 1.3%
$24,047,454 ปริมาณ
$24,047,454 ปริมาณ
Sep 29, 2026
รัสเซียรวม (ER)
70%
พรรคผู้คนใหม่ (NL)
25%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยแห่งรัสเซีย (LDPR)
4%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF)
1%
Yabloko
<1%
Rodina
<1%
พรรคยุติธรรมรัสเซีย – เพื่อความจริง (SRZP)
<1%
พรรคแพลตฟอร์มพลเมือง (GP)
<1%
รัสเซียรวม (ER) 70%
พรรคผู้คนใหม่ (NL) 25.1%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยแห่งรัสเซีย (LDPR) 4.3%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF) 1.3%
$24,047,454 ปริมาณ
$24,047,454 ปริมาณ
Sep 29, 2026
รัสเซียรวม (ER)
$8,820,630 ปริมาณ
70%
พรรคผู้คนใหม่ (NL)
$2,530,861 ปริมาณ
25%
พรรคเสรีประชาธิปไตยแห่งรัสเซีย (LDPR)
$3,503,188 ปริมาณ
4%
พรรคคอมมิวนิสต์แห่งสหพันธรัฐรัสเซีย (KPRF)
$1,618,456 ปริมาณ
1%
Yabloko
$1,601,427 ปริมาณ
<1%
Rodina
$2,798,393 ปริมาณ
<1%
พรรคยุติธรรมรัสเซีย – เพื่อความจริง (SRZP)
$1,881,302 ปริมาณ
<1%
พรรคแพลตฟอร์มพลเมือง (GP)
$1,293,197 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for securing the most seats in the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election due to its status as the incumbent ruling party, extensive single-member district nominations, and alignment with presidential priorities amid wartime conditions. The party’s recent congress approved a national program emphasizing economic measures and veteran integration, reinforcing its organizational edge in the mixed electoral system of party lists and constituencies. New People has emerged as the clearest challenger in some polling, buoyed by candidate registration and modest gains among urban voters, though systemic constraints limit opposition breakthroughs. Recent Supreme Court rulings barring Yabloko’s federal list and the exclusion of independent monitors further narrow competitive space, while the inclusion of war veterans across pro-government slates underscores continuity in the controlled political environment.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,047,454วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for securing the most seats in the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election due to its status as the incumbent ruling party, extensive single-member district nominations, and alignment with presidential priorities amid wartime conditions. The party’s recent congress approved a national program emphasizing economic measures and veteran integration, reinforcing its organizational edge in the mixed electoral system of party lists and constituencies. New People has emerged as the clearest challenger in some polling, buoyed by candidate registration and modest gains among urban voters, though systemic constraints limit opposition breakthroughs. Recent Supreme Court rulings barring Yabloko’s federal list and the exclusion of independent monitors further narrow competitive space, while the inclusion of war veterans across pro-government slates underscores continuity in the controlled political environment.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$24,047,454วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for securing the most seats in the September 18–20, 2026, State Duma election due to its status as the incumbent ruling party, extensive single-member district nominations, and alignment with presidential priorities amid wartime conditions. The party’s recent congress approved a national program emphasizing economic measures and veteran integration, reinforcing its organizational edge in the mixed electoral system of party lists and constituencies. New People has emerged as the clearest challenger in some polling, buoyed by candidate registration and modest gains among urban voters, though systemic constraints limit opposition breakthroughs. Recent Supreme Court rulings barring Yabloko’s federal list and the exclusion of independent monitors further narrow competitive space, while the inclusion of war veterans across pro-government slates underscores continuity in the controlled political environment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
พรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER) จะชนะที่นั่งมากที่สุดในการเลือกตั้งรัฐสภารัสเซียครั้งหน้าหรือไม่?
99%
ใช่
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
43%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
85%
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