Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show CDU, Die Linke, AfD, and Grüne clustered between roughly 15–22 percent, with SPD further back and smaller parties near or below the five-percent threshold. This narrow spread among the top four contenders, confirmed across INSA, Infratest dimap, Civey, and Forsa surveys in late August, produces the market’s tight distribution for fourth place. AfD’s sustained rise since 2023 and Linke’s gains have compressed the middle of the field, while CDU’s incumbency edge and Grüne’s stable urban base keep multiple outcomes plausible. Final-week turnout shifts or last-minute swings among undecided voters could still reorder the standings before ballots close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วBerlin State Election: 4th Place
Berlin State Election: 4th Place
Grüne 51%
AfD 28%
SPD 15%
CDU 14.0%
$11,569 ปริมาณ
$11,569 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
Grüne
51%
AfD
28%
SPD
15%
CDU
8%
Linke
7%
FW
8%
BSW
1%
FDP
1%
Grüne 51%
AfD 28%
SPD 15%
CDU 14.0%
$11,569 ปริมาณ
$11,569 ปริมาณ
Sep 20, 2026
Grüne
$5,969 ปริมาณ
51%
AfD
$3,801 ปริมาณ
28%
SPD
$344 ปริมาณ
15%
CDU
$162 ปริมาณ
8%
Linke
$738 ปริมาณ
7%
FW
$189 ปริมาณ
8%
BSW
$212 ปริมาณ
1%
FDP
$154 ปริมาณ
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show CDU, Die Linke, AfD, and Grüne clustered between roughly 15–22 percent, with SPD further back and smaller parties near or below the five-percent threshold. This narrow spread among the top four contenders, confirmed across INSA, Infratest dimap, Civey, and Forsa surveys in late August, produces the market’s tight distribution for fourth place. AfD’s sustained rise since 2023 and Linke’s gains have compressed the middle of the field, while CDU’s incumbency edge and Grüne’s stable urban base keep multiple outcomes plausible. Final-week turnout shifts or last-minute swings among undecided voters could still reorder the standings before ballots close.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,569วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show CDU, Die Linke, AfD, and Grüne clustered between roughly 15–22 percent, with SPD further back and smaller parties near or below the five-percent threshold. This narrow spread among the top four contenders, confirmed across INSA, Infratest dimap, Civey, and Forsa surveys in late August, produces the market’s tight distribution for fourth place. AfD’s sustained rise since 2023 and Linke’s gains have compressed the middle of the field, while CDU’s incumbency edge and Grüne’s stable urban base keep multiple outcomes plausible. Final-week turnout shifts or last-minute swings among undecided voters could still reorder the standings before ballots close.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid second votes (Zweitstimme) received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party names/abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$11,569วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 2:14 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls for Berlin’s September 20 Abgeordnetenhaus election show CDU, Die Linke, AfD, and Grüne clustered between roughly 15–22 percent, with SPD further back and smaller parties near or below the five-percent threshold. This narrow spread among the top four contenders, confirmed across INSA, Infratest dimap, Civey, and Forsa surveys in late August, produces the market’s tight distribution for fourth place. AfD’s sustained rise since 2023 and Linke’s gains have compressed the middle of the field, while CDU’s incumbency edge and Grüne’s stable urban base keep multiple outcomes plausible. Final-week turnout shifts or last-minute swings among undecided voters could still reorder the standings before ballots close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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