Redistricting under Alabama’s 2023 congressional map, upheld by the Supreme Court earlier this year, reduced the district’s Black voting-age population and shifted it toward a Republican lean, positioning the November 3 general election as a likely GOP pickup opportunity. Republican nominee Rhett Marques, a state representative from Enterprise who won his August 11 special primary with endorsements from President Trump and Senator Katie Britt, benefits from this structural advantage and strong party support. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures, first elected in 2024, has emphasized his record and local priorities while facing a more conservative electorate that no longer includes Mobile. Recent polling shows a close contest, with one Democratic survey indicating a statistical tie, though broader forecasts and race ratings classify the seat as leaning or likely Republican. The outcome hinges on turnout among key voting blocs and the final weeks of campaigning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วAL-02 House Election Winner
AL-02 House Election Winner
$47,485 ปริมาณ
$47,485 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Rhett Marques (R)
71%
Shomari Figures (D)
27%
$47,485 ปริมาณ
$47,485 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Rhett Marques (R)
$22,177 ปริมาณ
71%
Shomari Figures (D)
$25,308 ปริมาณ
27%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under Alabama’s 2023 congressional map, upheld by the Supreme Court earlier this year, reduced the district’s Black voting-age population and shifted it toward a Republican lean, positioning the November 3 general election as a likely GOP pickup opportunity. Republican nominee Rhett Marques, a state representative from Enterprise who won his August 11 special primary with endorsements from President Trump and Senator Katie Britt, benefits from this structural advantage and strong party support. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures, first elected in 2024, has emphasized his record and local priorities while facing a more conservative electorate that no longer includes Mobile. Recent polling shows a close contest, with one Democratic survey indicating a statistical tie, though broader forecasts and race ratings classify the seat as leaning or likely Republican. The outcome hinges on turnout among key voting blocs and the final weeks of campaigning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$47,485วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting under Alabama’s 2023 congressional map, upheld by the Supreme Court earlier this year, reduced the district’s Black voting-age population and shifted it toward a Republican lean, positioning the November 3 general election as a likely GOP pickup opportunity. Republican nominee Rhett Marques, a state representative from Enterprise who won his August 11 special primary with endorsements from President Trump and Senator Katie Britt, benefits from this structural advantage and strong party support. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures, first elected in 2024, has emphasized his record and local priorities while facing a more conservative electorate that no longer includes Mobile. Recent polling shows a close contest, with one Democratic survey indicating a statistical tie, though broader forecasts and race ratings classify the seat as leaning or likely Republican. The outcome hinges on turnout among key voting blocs and the final weeks of campaigning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AL-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$47,485วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting under Alabama’s 2023 congressional map, upheld by the Supreme Court earlier this year, reduced the district’s Black voting-age population and shifted it toward a Republican lean, positioning the November 3 general election as a likely GOP pickup opportunity. Republican nominee Rhett Marques, a state representative from Enterprise who won his August 11 special primary with endorsements from President Trump and Senator Katie Britt, benefits from this structural advantage and strong party support. Incumbent Democrat Shomari Figures, first elected in 2024, has emphasized his record and local priorities while facing a more conservative electorate that no longer includes Mobile. Recent polling shows a close contest, with one Democratic survey indicating a statistical tie, though broader forecasts and race ratings classify the seat as leaning or likely Republican. The outcome hinges on turnout among key voting blocs and the final weeks of campaigning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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