Eduardo Braga (MDB) holds an 81% implied probability of finishing first in the Amazonas Senate race because multiple polls since June, including Quaest and Comunidados surveys, show him leading first-vote intentions with 32–36% support across Manaus and the interior, backed by his broad coalition and incumbency since 2011. Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) trails at 13.7% amid stronger but narrower capital backing in some late-August and early-September Veritá data, while Wilson Lima (União) and Plínio Valério (PSDB) register low single digits consistent with their 12–16% ranges in consolidated scenarios. With the October 4 first-round vote three weeks away and nine registered candidates, trader pricing reflects Braga’s consistent edge in name recognition and geographic reach, though second-vote dynamics and any final-week shifts could still influence exact ordering.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วEduardo Braga 81%
Capitão Alberto Neto 13.6%
Plinio Valério 4.0%
Wilson Lima 2.3%
$37,838 ปริมาณ
$37,838 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Braga
81%
Capitão Alberto Neto
14%
Plinio Valério
4%
Wilson Lima
2%
Dailson Corrêa
<1%
Evandro de Oliveira
<1%
Ismael Munduruku
<1%
Professora Evany
<1%
Xuxa do Amazonas
<1%
Eduardo Braga 81%
Capitão Alberto Neto 13.6%
Plinio Valério 4.0%
Wilson Lima 2.3%
$37,838 ปริมาณ
$37,838 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Eduardo Braga
$20,232 ปริมาณ
81%
Capitão Alberto Neto
$6,724 ปริมาณ
14%
Plinio Valério
$3,517 ปริมาณ
4%
Wilson Lima
$3,513 ปริมาณ
2%
Dailson Corrêa
$600 ปริมาณ
<1%
Evandro de Oliveira
$563 ปริมาณ
<1%
Ismael Munduruku
$915 ปริมาณ
<1%
Professora Evany
$858 ปริมาณ
<1%
Xuxa do Amazonas
$916 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braga (MDB) holds an 81% implied probability of finishing first in the Amazonas Senate race because multiple polls since June, including Quaest and Comunidados surveys, show him leading first-vote intentions with 32–36% support across Manaus and the interior, backed by his broad coalition and incumbency since 2011. Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) trails at 13.7% amid stronger but narrower capital backing in some late-August and early-September Veritá data, while Wilson Lima (União) and Plínio Valério (PSDB) register low single digits consistent with their 12–16% ranges in consolidated scenarios. With the October 4 first-round vote three weeks away and nine registered candidates, trader pricing reflects Braga’s consistent edge in name recognition and geographic reach, though second-vote dynamics and any final-week shifts could still influence exact ordering.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$37,838วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Braga (MDB) holds an 81% implied probability of finishing first in the Amazonas Senate race because multiple polls since June, including Quaest and Comunidados surveys, show him leading first-vote intentions with 32–36% support across Manaus and the interior, backed by his broad coalition and incumbency since 2011. Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) trails at 13.7% amid stronger but narrower capital backing in some late-August and early-September Veritá data, while Wilson Lima (União) and Plínio Valério (PSDB) register low single digits consistent with their 12–16% ranges in consolidated scenarios. With the October 4 first-round vote three weeks away and nine registered candidates, trader pricing reflects Braga’s consistent edge in name recognition and geographic reach, though second-vote dynamics and any final-week shifts could still influence exact ordering.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Amazonas is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$37,838วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 5:53 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Eduardo Braga (MDB) holds an 81% implied probability of finishing first in the Amazonas Senate race because multiple polls since June, including Quaest and Comunidados surveys, show him leading first-vote intentions with 32–36% support across Manaus and the interior, backed by his broad coalition and incumbency since 2011. Capitão Alberto Neto (PL) trails at 13.7% amid stronger but narrower capital backing in some late-August and early-September Veritá data, while Wilson Lima (União) and Plínio Valério (PSDB) register low single digits consistent with their 12–16% ranges in consolidated scenarios. With the October 4 first-round vote three weeks away and nine registered candidates, trader pricing reflects Braga’s consistent edge in name recognition and geographic reach, though second-vote dynamics and any final-week shifts could still influence exact ordering.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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