**Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds an 81% implied probability of finishing first in the Pará Senate race, reflecting consistent leads in recent polling amid a fragmented field for the two seats.** Surveys from September, including AtlasIntel and Real Time Big Data, place him well ahead as first-choice candidate, supported by a broad coalition ("O Pará Tá Junto") and his record as former governor who stepped down in April to run. Other contenders trail significantly, with Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) in the 11–18% range and names such as Zequinha Marinho (PODE), Celso Sabino (PDT), and Chicão (União) further back in multi-candidate scenarios. A September 11 opinion from the regional electoral prosecutor recommending rejection of Helder’s registration over alleged continued official acts after desincompatibilização introduces uncertainty, though traders appear to price in a high likelihood of resolution in his favor before the October 4 vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHelder 81%
Delegado Éder Mauro 11.1%
Zequinha Marinho 3.3%
Edlaine Rodrigues 2.2%
$18,377 ปริมาณ
$18,377 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Helder
81%
Delegado Éder Mauro
11%
Zequinha Marinho
3%
Edlaine Rodrigues
2%
Breno Guimarães
1%
Fernanda Lopes
1%
Celso Sabino
1%
Conti
1%
Gizelle Freitas
<1%
Chicão
<1%
Willem da Silva
<1%
Helder 81%
Delegado Éder Mauro 11.1%
Zequinha Marinho 3.3%
Edlaine Rodrigues 2.2%
$18,377 ปริมาณ
$18,377 ปริมาณ
Oct 4, 2026
Helder
$12,734 ปริมาณ
81%
Delegado Éder Mauro
$635 ปริมาณ
11%
Zequinha Marinho
$574 ปริมาณ
3%
Edlaine Rodrigues
$609 ปริมาณ
2%
Breno Guimarães
$534 ปริมาณ
1%
Fernanda Lopes
$731 ปริมาณ
1%
Celso Sabino
$504 ปริมาณ
1%
Conti
$556 ปริมาณ
1%
Gizelle Freitas
$567 ปริมาณ
<1%
Chicão
$493 ปริมาณ
<1%
Willem da Silva
$441 ปริมาณ
<1%
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds an 81% implied probability of finishing first in the Pará Senate race, reflecting consistent leads in recent polling amid a fragmented field for the two seats.** Surveys from September, including AtlasIntel and Real Time Big Data, place him well ahead as first-choice candidate, supported by a broad coalition ("O Pará Tá Junto") and his record as former governor who stepped down in April to run. Other contenders trail significantly, with Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) in the 11–18% range and names such as Zequinha Marinho (PODE), Celso Sabino (PDT), and Chicão (União) further back in multi-candidate scenarios. A September 11 opinion from the regional electoral prosecutor recommending rejection of Helder’s registration over alleged continued official acts after desincompatibilização introduces uncertainty, though traders appear to price in a high likelihood of resolution in his favor before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,377วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).**Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds an 81% implied probability of finishing first in the Pará Senate race, reflecting consistent leads in recent polling amid a fragmented field for the two seats.** Surveys from September, including AtlasIntel and Real Time Big Data, place him well ahead as first-choice candidate, supported by a broad coalition ("O Pará Tá Junto") and his record as former governor who stepped down in April to run. Other contenders trail significantly, with Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) in the 11–18% range and names such as Zequinha Marinho (PODE), Celso Sabino (PDT), and Chicão (União) further back in multi-candidate scenarios. A September 11 opinion from the regional electoral prosecutor recommending rejection of Helder’s registration over alleged continued official acts after desincompatibilização introduces uncertainty, though traders appear to price in a high likelihood of resolution in his favor before the October 4 vote.
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Pará is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$18,377วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 6:04 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Helder Barbalho (MDB) holds an 81% implied probability of finishing first in the Pará Senate race, reflecting consistent leads in recent polling amid a fragmented field for the two seats.** Surveys from September, including AtlasIntel and Real Time Big Data, place him well ahead as first-choice candidate, supported by a broad coalition ("O Pará Tá Junto") and his record as former governor who stepped down in April to run. Other contenders trail significantly, with Delegado Éder Mauro (PL) in the 11–18% range and names such as Zequinha Marinho (PODE), Celso Sabino (PDT), and Chicão (União) further back in multi-candidate scenarios. A September 11 opinion from the regional electoral prosecutor recommending rejection of Helder’s registration over alleged continued official acts after desincompatibilização introduces uncertainty, though traders appear to price in a high likelihood of resolution in his favor before the October 4 vote.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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