Apple’s decision to place the Vision Pro successor on hold underpins the market’s 94.5% “No” odds for a 2026 release. Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and analyst Ming-Chi Kuo reported in mid-2026 that Apple canceled the lighter “Vision Air” project, reassigned engineers to AI smart glasses slated for late 2027, and paused full next-generation headset work until a substantially slimmer, lower-cost design emerges—pushing any true Vision Pro 2 to late 2028 or 2029. The M5 refresh in 2025 addressed only incremental updates amid lukewarm demand, while the original $3,499 model’s weight and price issues remain unresolved. A surprise engineering breakthrough or rapid pivot could still shift timelines, yet current verified roadmaps leave little room for a pre-2027 launch.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว6% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
6% โอกาส
ใหม่
ใหม่
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s decision to place the Vision Pro successor on hold underpins the market’s 94.5% “No” odds for a 2026 release. Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and analyst Ming-Chi Kuo reported in mid-2026 that Apple canceled the lighter “Vision Air” project, reassigned engineers to AI smart glasses slated for late 2027, and paused full next-generation headset work until a substantially slimmer, lower-cost design emerges—pushing any true Vision Pro 2 to late 2028 or 2029. The M5 refresh in 2025 addressed only incremental updates amid lukewarm demand, while the original $3,499 model’s weight and price issues remain unresolved. A surprise engineering breakthrough or rapid pivot could still shift timelines, yet current verified roadmaps leave little room for a pre-2027 launch.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 12, 2025, 5:54 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,144วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 12, 2025, 5:54 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s decision to place the Vision Pro successor on hold underpins the market’s 94.5% “No” odds for a 2026 release. Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and analyst Ming-Chi Kuo reported in mid-2026 that Apple canceled the lighter “Vision Air” project, reassigned engineers to AI smart glasses slated for late 2027, and paused full next-generation headset work until a substantially slimmer, lower-cost design emerges—pushing any true Vision Pro 2 to late 2028 or 2029. The M5 refresh in 2025 addressed only incremental updates amid lukewarm demand, while the original $3,499 model’s weight and price issues remain unresolved. A surprise engineering breakthrough or rapid pivot could still shift timelines, yet current verified roadmaps leave little room for a pre-2027 launch.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple releases a new Vision Pro product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "Apple Vision" and be recognized as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 14 and iPhone 15. A new Apple Vision product released without a number, under a designation other than Apple Vision Pro 2 will qualify if it retains the original functions of the Apple Vision Pro and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
Releases framed as an upgrade or refresh (e.g. the 2025 release of the Apple Vision Pro with an M5 chip) will not qualify as a successor to the original Apple Vision Pro product.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,144วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 12, 2025, 5:54 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Apple’s decision to place the Vision Pro successor on hold underpins the market’s 94.5% “No” odds for a 2026 release. Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman and analyst Ming-Chi Kuo reported in mid-2026 that Apple canceled the lighter “Vision Air” project, reassigned engineers to AI smart glasses slated for late 2027, and paused full next-generation headset work until a substantially slimmer, lower-cost design emerges—pushing any true Vision Pro 2 to late 2028 or 2029. The M5 refresh in 2025 addressed only incremental updates amid lukewarm demand, while the original $3,499 model’s weight and price issues remain unresolved. A surprise engineering breakthrough or rapid pivot could still shift timelines, yet current verified roadmaps leave little room for a pre-2027 launch.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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