Apple’s long-standing annual iPhone cadence, reinforced by the September 9, 2026 event unveiling iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models for immediate pre-order and mid-September availability, underpins the near-certain trader consensus. Supply-chain reports and consistent historical timing around the second week of September have aligned expectations for at least premium variants to reach market in 2026. While chip and memory constraints prompted a split launch strategy that defers the base iPhone 18 to spring 2027, the overall series rollout remains on track. Potential last-minute disruptions such as manufacturing shortfalls, regulatory hurdles on new components, or unexpected design revisions could still shift exact availability windows, though none have materialized to alter current positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว>99% โอกาส
$235,610 ปริมาณ
$235,610 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
>99% โอกาส
$235,610 ปริมาณ
$235,610 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s long-standing annual iPhone cadence, reinforced by the September 9, 2026 event unveiling iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models for immediate pre-order and mid-September availability, underpins the near-certain trader consensus. Supply-chain reports and consistent historical timing around the second week of September have aligned expectations for at least premium variants to reach market in 2026. While chip and memory constraints prompted a split launch strategy that defers the base iPhone 18 to spring 2027, the overall series rollout remains on track. Potential last-minute disruptions such as manufacturing shortfalls, regulatory hurdles on new components, or unexpected design revisions could still shift exact availability windows, though none have materialized to alter current positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$235,610วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Apple’s long-standing annual iPhone cadence, reinforced by the September 9, 2026 event unveiling iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models for immediate pre-order and mid-September availability, underpins the near-certain trader consensus. Supply-chain reports and consistent historical timing around the second week of September have aligned expectations for at least premium variants to reach market in 2026. While chip and memory constraints prompted a split launch strategy that defers the base iPhone 18 to spring 2027, the overall series rollout remains on track. Potential last-minute disruptions such as manufacturing shortfalls, regulatory hurdles on new components, or unexpected design revisions could still shift exact availability windows, though none have materialized to alter current positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple officially releases iPhone 18 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying product must be named "iPhone" and be recognized as a successor to the original iPhone product, similar to the relationship between iPhone 15 and iPhone 16. A new iPhone product released without a number, under a designation other than iPhone 18, will qualify if it retains the original functions of the iPhone and expands on them in such a way that it is clear that this product is a successor.
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Apple. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$235,610วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 12, 2025, 5:53 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Apple’s long-standing annual iPhone cadence, reinforced by the September 9, 2026 event unveiling iPhone 18 Pro and Pro Max models for immediate pre-order and mid-September availability, underpins the near-certain trader consensus. Supply-chain reports and consistent historical timing around the second week of September have aligned expectations for at least premium variants to reach market in 2026. While chip and memory constraints prompted a split launch strategy that defers the base iPhone 18 to spring 2027, the overall series rollout remains on track. Potential last-minute disruptions such as manufacturing shortfalls, regulatory hurdles on new components, or unexpected design revisions could still shift exact availability windows, though none have materialized to alter current positioning.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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