Recent low posting volume has anchored trader expectations for the August 28–September 4 window. Partial tracking shows just 25 posts across August 29–31 and roughly 54 through the early part of the period, well below the 40-plus daily clips seen in earlier August surges. This slowdown, coupled with the absence of major political flashpoints or product announcements that typically drive reply threads and commentary, has compressed probabilities around the 180–239 brackets. Musk’s activity remains highly variable—sensitive to Tesla/SpaceX/X developments, late-night engagement patterns, and external events—so the tight clustering among the top four outcomes reflects uncertainty over whether the current measured pace will hold or rebound sharply in the final days.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว200-219 21%
180-199 20%
220-239 17%
160-179 15%
$619,650 ปริมาณ
$619,650 ปริมาณ
Sep 4, 2026
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
1%
140-159
6%
160-179
15%
180-199
20%
200-219
21%
220-239
17%
240-259
10%
260-279
6%
280-299
5%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
200-219 21%
180-199 20%
220-239 17%
160-179 15%
$619,650 ปริมาณ
$619,650 ปริมาณ
Sep 4, 2026
80-99
$63,073 ปริมาณ
<1%
100-119
$45,255 ปริมาณ
<1%
120-139
$47,944 ปริมาณ
1%
140-159
$26,238 ปริมาณ
6%
160-179
$15,898 ปริมาณ
15%
180-199
$17,461 ปริมาณ
20%
200-219
$13,189 ปริมาณ
21%
220-239
$13,905 ปริมาณ
17%
240-259
$17,880 ปริมาณ
10%
260-279
$22,813 ปริมาณ
6%
280-299
$23,555 ปริมาณ
5%
300-319
$30,845 ปริมาณ
2%
320-339
$24,949 ปริมาณ
1%
340-359
$25,513 ปริมาณ
<1%
360-379
$21,242 ปริมาณ
<1%
380-399
$16,079 ปริมาณ
<1%
400-419
$20,196 ปริมาณ
<1%
420-439
$19,228 ปริมาณ
<1%
440-459
$11,776 ปริมาณ
<1%
460-479
$9,528 ปริมาณ
<1%
480-499
$8,607 ปริมาณ
<1%
500+
$43,094 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 28 12:00 PM ET to September 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent low posting volume has anchored trader expectations for the August 28–September 4 window. Partial tracking shows just 25 posts across August 29–31 and roughly 54 through the early part of the period, well below the 40-plus daily clips seen in earlier August surges. This slowdown, coupled with the absence of major political flashpoints or product announcements that typically drive reply threads and commentary, has compressed probabilities around the 180–239 brackets. Musk’s activity remains highly variable—sensitive to Tesla/SpaceX/X developments, late-night engagement patterns, and external events—so the tight clustering among the top four outcomes reflects uncertainty over whether the current measured pace will hold or rebound sharply in the final days.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 28 12:00 PM ET to September 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$619,650วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 28 12:00 PM ET to September 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent low posting volume has anchored trader expectations for the August 28–September 4 window. Partial tracking shows just 25 posts across August 29–31 and roughly 54 through the early part of the period, well below the 40-plus daily clips seen in earlier August surges. This slowdown, coupled with the absence of major political flashpoints or product announcements that typically drive reply threads and commentary, has compressed probabilities around the 180–239 brackets. Musk’s activity remains highly variable—sensitive to Tesla/SpaceX/X developments, late-night engagement patterns, and external events—so the tight clustering among the top four outcomes reflects uncertainty over whether the current measured pace will hold or rebound sharply in the final days.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 28 12:00 PM ET to September 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$619,650วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 4, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://x.com/elonmuskผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent low posting volume has anchored trader expectations for the August 28–September 4 window. Partial tracking shows just 25 posts across August 29–31 and roughly 54 through the early part of the period, well below the 40-plus daily clips seen in earlier August surges. This slowdown, coupled with the absence of major political flashpoints or product announcements that typically drive reply threads and commentary, has compressed probabilities around the 180–239 brackets. Musk’s activity remains highly variable—sensitive to Tesla/SpaceX/X developments, late-night engagement patterns, and external events—so the tight clustering among the top four outcomes reflects uncertainty over whether the current measured pace will hold or rebound sharply in the final days.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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