Georgia's 1st Congressional District leans strongly Republican, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the open-seat race as solid or safe for the GOP. Jim Kingston secured the Republican nomination outright in the May primary with over 52 percent of the vote and an endorsement from President Trump, while Amanda Hollowell advanced through a June Democratic runoff. The district has not elected a Democrat to the House since 1990, and its partisan voting index favors Republicans by roughly eight points. Traders assign Kingston a 92.5 percent implied probability due to these structural advantages and the absence of major shifts in recent months. A late scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout in coastal counties, or unexpected national political realignment could narrow the margin, though such outcomes face significant historical and demographic barriers before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGA-01 House Election Winner
GA-01 House Election Winner
$20,731 ปริมาณ
$20,731 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Jim Kingston (R)
93%
Amanda Hollowell (D)
6%
$20,731 ปริมาณ
$20,731 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Jim Kingston (R)
$13,017 ปริมาณ
93%
Amanda Hollowell (D)
$7,713 ปริมาณ
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 1st Congressional District leans strongly Republican, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the open-seat race as solid or safe for the GOP. Jim Kingston secured the Republican nomination outright in the May primary with over 52 percent of the vote and an endorsement from President Trump, while Amanda Hollowell advanced through a June Democratic runoff. The district has not elected a Democrat to the House since 1990, and its partisan voting index favors Republicans by roughly eight points. Traders assign Kingston a 92.5 percent implied probability due to these structural advantages and the absence of major shifts in recent months. A late scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout in coastal counties, or unexpected national political realignment could narrow the margin, though such outcomes face significant historical and demographic barriers before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,731วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Georgia's 1st Congressional District leans strongly Republican, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the open-seat race as solid or safe for the GOP. Jim Kingston secured the Republican nomination outright in the May primary with over 52 percent of the vote and an endorsement from President Trump, while Amanda Hollowell advanced through a June Democratic runoff. The district has not elected a Democrat to the House since 1990, and its partisan voting index favors Republicans by roughly eight points. Traders assign Kingston a 92.5 percent implied probability due to these structural advantages and the absence of major shifts in recent months. A late scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout in coastal counties, or unexpected national political realignment could narrow the margin, though such outcomes face significant historical and demographic barriers before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,731วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Georgia's 1st Congressional District leans strongly Republican, reflected in nonpartisan ratings classifying the open-seat race as solid or safe for the GOP. Jim Kingston secured the Republican nomination outright in the May primary with over 52 percent of the vote and an endorsement from President Trump, while Amanda Hollowell advanced through a June Democratic runoff. The district has not elected a Democrat to the House since 1990, and its partisan voting index favors Republicans by roughly eight points. Traders assign Kingston a 92.5 percent implied probability due to these structural advantages and the absence of major shifts in recent months. A late scandal, unusually high Democratic turnout in coastal counties, or unexpected national political realignment could narrow the margin, though such outcomes face significant historical and demographic barriers before November 3.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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