Recent second-quarter U.S. GDP growth of 1.5% annualized, following 2.1% in the first quarter, combined with consensus forecasts clustering between 1.9% and 2.3% for the full year, anchors trader expectations around the 2.0–2.5% range. Resilient consumer spending, supported by solid labor market conditions and productivity gains from AI-related investment, has offset headwinds from elevated energy prices tied to Middle East developments and sticky inflation readings near 3.4%. The New York Fed’s Q3 nowcast near 2.26% and June FOMC median projection of 2.2% reinforce this central tendency, while risks from potential further monetary tightening and tariff effects keep probabilities for outcomes above 2.5% or below 1.5% more contained. The September FOMC meeting and upcoming third-quarter GDP release represent key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGDP growth in 2026
GDP growth in 2026
2.0–2.5% 47%
1.5–2.0% 26.2%
>2.5% 14.5%
<0.5% 7.4%
$64,484 ปริมาณ
$64,484 ปริมาณ
Jan 28, 2027
<0.5%
7%
0.5–1.0%
1%
1.0–1.5%
6%
1.5–2.0%
26%
2.0–2.5%
47%
>2.5%
14%
2.0–2.5% 47%
1.5–2.0% 26.2%
>2.5% 14.5%
<0.5% 7.4%
$64,484 ปริมาณ
$64,484 ปริมาณ
Jan 28, 2027
<0.5%
$7,836 ปริมาณ
7%
0.5–1.0%
$17,507 ปริมาณ
1%
1.0–1.5%
$4,102 ปริมาณ
6%
1.5–2.0%
$8,134 ปริมาณ
26%
2.0–2.5%
$10,255 ปริมาณ
47%
>2.5%
$16,650 ปริมาณ
14%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent second-quarter U.S. GDP growth of 1.5% annualized, following 2.1% in the first quarter, combined with consensus forecasts clustering between 1.9% and 2.3% for the full year, anchors trader expectations around the 2.0–2.5% range. Resilient consumer spending, supported by solid labor market conditions and productivity gains from AI-related investment, has offset headwinds from elevated energy prices tied to Middle East developments and sticky inflation readings near 3.4%. The New York Fed’s Q3 nowcast near 2.26% and June FOMC median projection of 2.2% reinforce this central tendency, while risks from potential further monetary tightening and tariff effects keep probabilities for outcomes above 2.5% or below 1.5% more contained. The September FOMC meeting and upcoming third-quarter GDP release represent key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$64,484วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 29, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent second-quarter U.S. GDP growth of 1.5% annualized, following 2.1% in the first quarter, combined with consensus forecasts clustering between 1.9% and 2.3% for the full year, anchors trader expectations around the 2.0–2.5% range. Resilient consumer spending, supported by solid labor market conditions and productivity gains from AI-related investment, has offset headwinds from elevated energy prices tied to Middle East developments and sticky inflation readings near 3.4%. The New York Fed’s Q3 nowcast near 2.26% and June FOMC median projection of 2.2% reinforce this central tendency, while risks from potential further monetary tightening and tariff effects keep probabilities for outcomes above 2.5% or below 1.5% more contained. The September FOMC meeting and upcoming third-quarter GDP release represent key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$64,484วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 29, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:17 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Recent second-quarter U.S. GDP growth of 1.5% annualized, following 2.1% in the first quarter, combined with consensus forecasts clustering between 1.9% and 2.3% for the full year, anchors trader expectations around the 2.0–2.5% range. Resilient consumer spending, supported by solid labor market conditions and productivity gains from AI-related investment, has offset headwinds from elevated energy prices tied to Middle East developments and sticky inflation readings near 3.4%. The New York Fed’s Q3 nowcast near 2.26% and June FOMC median projection of 2.2% reinforce this central tendency, while risks from potential further monetary tightening and tariff effects keep probabilities for outcomes above 2.5% or below 1.5% more contained. The September FOMC meeting and upcoming third-quarter GDP release represent key near-term catalysts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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