Google confirmed in late July 2026 that pre-training has begun on Gemini 4 as its “most ambitious pre-training run yet,” with CEO Sundar Pichai describing it on the Q2 earnings call as a significantly larger frontier model focused on agentic coding and staying competitive at the leading edge. This followed delays pushing Gemini 3.5 Pro past its targeted June window, while the company maintained rapid iteration on the 3.x Flash series, including Gemini 3.7 Flash in mid-August. Traders weigh Google’s historical six-month cadence between major generations against the lack of any official timeline or benchmarks, the competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic frontier releases, and ongoing emphasis on monthly model updates. Key upcoming catalysts include Alphabet’s next earnings call and potential announcements around developer events that could clarify post-training progress or a late-2026 launch window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วGemini 4.0 released by...?
Gemini 4.0 released by...?
$333,132 ปริมาณ
Nov 30, 2026
August 31
<1%
September 15
12%
September 30
17%
October 31
69%
November 30
88%
$333,132 ปริมาณ
August 31
$61,677 ปริมาณ
<1%
September 15
$225 ปริมาณ
12%
September 30
$155,021 ปริมาณ
17%
October 31
$1,053 ปริมาณ
69%
November 30
$3,944 ปริมาณ
88%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google confirmed in late July 2026 that pre-training has begun on Gemini 4 as its “most ambitious pre-training run yet,” with CEO Sundar Pichai describing it on the Q2 earnings call as a significantly larger frontier model focused on agentic coding and staying competitive at the leading edge. This followed delays pushing Gemini 3.5 Pro past its targeted June window, while the company maintained rapid iteration on the 3.x Flash series, including Gemini 3.7 Flash in mid-August. Traders weigh Google’s historical six-month cadence between major generations against the lack of any official timeline or benchmarks, the competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic frontier releases, and ongoing emphasis on monthly model updates. Key upcoming catalysts include Alphabet’s next earnings call and potential announcements around developer events that could clarify post-training progress or a late-2026 launch window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$333,132วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 10:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google confirmed in late July 2026 that pre-training has begun on Gemini 4 as its “most ambitious pre-training run yet,” with CEO Sundar Pichai describing it on the Q2 earnings call as a significantly larger frontier model focused on agentic coding and staying competitive at the leading edge. This followed delays pushing Gemini 3.5 Pro past its targeted June window, while the company maintained rapid iteration on the 3.x Flash series, including Gemini 3.7 Flash in mid-August. Traders weigh Google’s historical six-month cadence between major generations against the lack of any official timeline or benchmarks, the competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic frontier releases, and ongoing emphasis on monthly model updates. Key upcoming catalysts include Alphabet’s next earnings call and potential announcements around developer events that could clarify post-training progress or a late-2026 launch window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Gemini 4.0 Flash model is made available to the general public by the listed date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," Gemini 4.0 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
Gemini 4.0 refers to a product explicitly named Gemini 4.0 or one that is recognized as a successor to Gemini 3 similar to the progression from Gemini 2.0 to Gemini 3. Products labeled as Gemini 3.0 Flash, Gemini 2.5, or similar will not count for this market's resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$333,132วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 10:58 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Google confirmed in late July 2026 that pre-training has begun on Gemini 4 as its “most ambitious pre-training run yet,” with CEO Sundar Pichai describing it on the Q2 earnings call as a significantly larger frontier model focused on agentic coding and staying competitive at the leading edge. This followed delays pushing Gemini 3.5 Pro past its targeted June window, while the company maintained rapid iteration on the 3.x Flash series, including Gemini 3.7 Flash in mid-August. Traders weigh Google’s historical six-month cadence between major generations against the lack of any official timeline or benchmarks, the competitive pressure from OpenAI and Anthropic frontier releases, and ongoing emphasis on monthly model updates. Key upcoming catalysts include Alphabet’s next earnings call and potential announcements around developer events that could clarify post-training progress or a late-2026 launch window.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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