Google’s persistent delays with the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro continue to shape trader sentiment on the next Pro release timeline. Announced at I/O in May 2026 with a June target, the model remains in partner testing and “coming soon” status as of early September, after slipping past July amid shortfalls in coding and agentic benchmarks. In the meantime, Google has shipped successive Flash variants—most recently Gemini 3.8 Flash on September 2—while confirming the start of its most ambitious pre-training run for Gemini 4. This pattern of rapid lightweight updates alongside frontier-model slippage supports the market-implied view that a new Pro model is unlikely before November, though any confirmed partner rollout or earnings commentary could quickly shift odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$1,262,935 ปริมาณ
Sep 15, 2026
September 15
3%
September 30
14%
October 31
64%
October 15
29%
$1,262,935 ปริมาณ
September 15
$12,131 ปริมาณ
3%
September 30
$79,149 ปริมาณ
14%
October 31
$13,734 ปริมาณ
64%
October 15
$1,838 ปริมาณ
29%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s persistent delays with the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro continue to shape trader sentiment on the next Pro release timeline. Announced at I/O in May 2026 with a June target, the model remains in partner testing and “coming soon” status as of early September, after slipping past July amid shortfalls in coding and agentic benchmarks. In the meantime, Google has shipped successive Flash variants—most recently Gemini 3.8 Flash on September 2—while confirming the start of its most ambitious pre-training run for Gemini 4. This pattern of rapid lightweight updates alongside frontier-model slippage supports the market-implied view that a new Pro model is unlikely before November, though any confirmed partner rollout or earnings commentary could quickly shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 17, 2026, 9:16 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,262,935วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 9:16 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Google’s persistent delays with the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro continue to shape trader sentiment on the next Pro release timeline. Announced at I/O in May 2026 with a June target, the model remains in partner testing and “coming soon” status as of early September, after slipping past July amid shortfalls in coding and agentic benchmarks. In the meantime, Google has shipped successive Flash variants—most recently Gemini 3.8 Flash on September 2—while confirming the start of its most ambitious pre-training run for Gemini 4. This pattern of rapid lightweight updates alongside frontier-model slippage supports the market-implied view that a new Pro model is unlikely before November, though any confirmed partner rollout or earnings commentary could quickly shift odds.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's next Gemini Pro model is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Any Gemini model released after market creation and labeled as "Pro" may qualify (e.g., gemini-3.2-pro, gemini-3.5-pro, or gemini-4.0-pro-preview). Gemini models labeled only as Flash, Flash-Lite, or another non-Pro variant will not qualify.
Products labeled as a GA promotion of an already-existing Preview model (e.g., gemini-3.1-pro-ga) may qualify
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be either clearly defined and publicly announced by Google as being accessible to the general public or otherwise made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled within the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Google, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,262,935วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 17, 2026, 9:16 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Google’s persistent delays with the flagship Gemini 3.5 Pro continue to shape trader sentiment on the next Pro release timeline. Announced at I/O in May 2026 with a June target, the model remains in partner testing and “coming soon” status as of early September, after slipping past July amid shortfalls in coding and agentic benchmarks. In the meantime, Google has shipped successive Flash variants—most recently Gemini 3.8 Flash on September 2—while confirming the start of its most ambitious pre-training run for Gemini 4. This pattern of rapid lightweight updates alongside frontier-model slippage supports the market-implied view that a new Pro model is unlikely before November, though any confirmed partner rollout or earnings commentary could quickly shift odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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