Meta’s recent cadence of Muse Spark updates drives current trader focus on a 1.4+ release. The company shipped 1.3 on September 2, 2026, via the Meta Model API and Muse Code, delivering measurable gains in long-horizon agentic workflows, coding efficiency, and reduced tool calls compared with 1.2. This followed 1.2 in early August and 1.1 in July, reflecting Meta Superintelligence Labs’ emphasis on iterative scaling of multimodal reasoning, 1-million-token context, and real-world developer usability. Chief AI Officer Alexandr Wang and Mark Zuckerberg have highlighted frontier-level performance at low cost while signaling larger upcoming models and an open-weights release on the roadmap. With 1.3 only two weeks old as of mid-September, traders weigh whether Meta will maintain the roughly monthly pace or pause for integration of new capabilities before pushing 1.4+.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$12,639 ปริมาณ
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
19%
October 31
73%
$12,639 ปริมาณ
September 30
$7,795 ปริมาณ
19%
October 31
$4,844 ปริมาณ
73%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Meta’s recent cadence of Muse Spark updates drives current trader focus on a 1.4+ release. The company shipped 1.3 on September 2, 2026, via the Meta Model API and Muse Code, delivering measurable gains in long-horizon agentic workflows, coding efficiency, and reduced tool calls compared with 1.2. This followed 1.2 in early August and 1.1 in July, reflecting Meta Superintelligence Labs’ emphasis on iterative scaling of multimodal reasoning, 1-million-token context, and real-world developer usability. Chief AI Officer Alexandr Wang and Mark Zuckerberg have highlighted frontier-level performance at low cost while signaling larger upcoming models and an open-weights release on the roadmap. With 1.3 only two weeks old as of mid-September, traders weigh whether Meta will maintain the roughly monthly pace or pause for integration of new capabilities before pushing 1.4+.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 4, 2026, 10:28 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,639วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 10:28 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Meta’s recent cadence of Muse Spark updates drives current trader focus on a 1.4+ release. The company shipped 1.3 on September 2, 2026, via the Meta Model API and Muse Code, delivering measurable gains in long-horizon agentic workflows, coding efficiency, and reduced tool calls compared with 1.2. This followed 1.2 in early August and 1.1 in July, reflecting Meta Superintelligence Labs’ emphasis on iterative scaling of multimodal reasoning, 1-million-token context, and real-world developer usability. Chief AI Officer Alexandr Wang and Mark Zuckerberg have highlighted frontier-level performance at low cost while signaling larger upcoming models and an open-weights release on the roadmap. With 1.3 only two weeks old as of mid-September, traders weigh whether Meta will maintain the roughly monthly pace or pause for integration of new capabilities before pushing 1.4+.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Meta as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$12,639วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 4, 2026, 10:28 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Meta’s recent cadence of Muse Spark updates drives current trader focus on a 1.4+ release. The company shipped 1.3 on September 2, 2026, via the Meta Model API and Muse Code, delivering measurable gains in long-horizon agentic workflows, coding efficiency, and reduced tool calls compared with 1.2. This followed 1.2 in early August and 1.1 in July, reflecting Meta Superintelligence Labs’ emphasis on iterative scaling of multimodal reasoning, 1-million-token context, and real-world developer usability. Chief AI Officer Alexandr Wang and Mark Zuckerberg have highlighted frontier-level performance at low cost while signaling larger upcoming models and an open-weights release on the roadmap. With 1.3 only two weeks old as of mid-September, traders weigh whether Meta will maintain the roughly monthly pace or pause for integration of new capabilities before pushing 1.4+.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย