Recent polling from Pew Research and Morning Consult shows Republican candidates receiving 8-15% support among Black registered voters in generic congressional ballots ahead of the November 2026 midterms, consistent with the market's tight clustering around 8-13%. This positioning reflects gains from the 2024 presidential election, when Republican support reached roughly 20%, alongside longer-term shifts among younger and working-class Black voters, tempered by subsequent declines tied to economic pressures including inflation and unemployment. A Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais and resulting redistricting in several states have heightened debates over voting access, boosting turnout in some majority-Black areas while contributing to partisan polarization. Historical midterm benchmarks from 2022, when Republicans captured about 13% of the Black vote, provide context for the range, with outcomes likely hinging on turnout differentials and voter priorities in the final weeks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว10–11% 27%
8–9% 24%
12–13% 21%
<8% 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 6, 2026
<8%
10%
8–9%
24%
10–11%
27%
12–13%
21%
14–15%
9%
16–17%
6%
18%+
3%
10–11% 27%
8–9% 24%
12–13% 21%
<8% 10%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Nov 6, 2026
<8%
$20 ปริมาณ
10%
8–9%
$407 ปริมาณ
24%
10–11%
$398 ปริมาณ
27%
12–13%
$351 ปริมาณ
21%
14–15%
$192 ปริมาณ
9%
16–17%
$20 ปริมาณ
6%
18%+
$91 ปริมาณ
3%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the Black vote won by Republicans in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
For purposes of this market, the terms "Black" and "African-American" will be considered synonymous.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
In the event that the resolution source reports numbers that are contain one or more decimal point, this market will resolve based on the result of rounding such a number to the nearest whole number.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Recent polling from Pew Research and Morning Consult shows Republican candidates receiving 8-15% support among Black registered voters in generic congressional ballots ahead of the November 2026 midterms, consistent with the market's tight clustering around 8-13%. This positioning reflects gains from the 2024 presidential election, when Republican support reached roughly 20%, alongside longer-term shifts among younger and working-class Black voters, tempered by subsequent declines tied to economic pressures including inflation and unemployment. A Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais and resulting redistricting in several states have heightened debates over voting access, boosting turnout in some majority-Black areas while contributing to partisan polarization. Historical midterm benchmarks from 2022, when Republicans captured about 13% of the Black vote, provide context for the range, with outcomes likely hinging on turnout differentials and voter priorities in the final weeks.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the Black vote won by Republicans in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
For purposes of this market, the terms "Black" and "African-American" will be considered synonymous.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
In the event that the resolution source reports numbers that are contain one or more decimal point, this market will resolve based on the result of rounding such a number to the nearest whole number.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the Black vote won by Republicans in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
For purposes of this market, the terms "Black" and "African-American" will be considered synonymous.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
In the event that the resolution source reports numbers that are contain one or more decimal point, this market will resolve based on the result of rounding such a number to the nearest whole number.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 2, 2026, 2:11 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,479วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 2:11 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the Black vote won by Republicans in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
For purposes of this market, the terms "Black" and "African-American" will be considered synonymous.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
In the event that the resolution source reports numbers that are contain one or more decimal point, this market will resolve based on the result of rounding such a number to the nearest whole number.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. Recent polling from Pew Research and Morning Consult shows Republican candidates receiving 8-15% support among Black registered voters in generic congressional ballots ahead of the November 2026 midterms, consistent with the market's tight clustering around 8-13%. This positioning reflects gains from the 2024 presidential election, when Republican support reached roughly 20%, alongside longer-term shifts among younger and working-class Black voters, tempered by subsequent declines tied to economic pressures including inflation and unemployment. A Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais and resulting redistricting in several states have heightened debates over voting access, boosting turnout in some majority-Black areas while contributing to partisan polarization. Historical midterm benchmarks from 2022, when Republicans captured about 13% of the Black vote, provide context for the range, with outcomes likely hinging on turnout differentials and voter priorities in the final weeks.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the Black vote won by Republicans in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
For purposes of this market, the terms "Black" and "African-American" will be considered synonymous.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
In the event that the resolution source reports numbers that are contain one or more decimal point, this market will resolve based on the result of rounding such a number to the nearest whole number.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the Black vote won by Republicans in the midterm elections according to exit polling provided by CNN.
This market will resolve according to the national exit polling for the United States House, as viewed on the applicable cnn.com webpage at 12:00PM ET on November 6, 2026.
For purposes of this market, the terms "Black" and "African-American" will be considered synonymous.
In the event that CNN provides applicable exit polling but it is not available at the time specified above, this market will await an update for one full calendar day before moving to the media organizations listed below.
In the event that CNN does not provide applicable exit polling, this market will resolve according to the exit polling provided by CBS or, should CBS also not provide applicable polling, ABC.
In the event that the resolution source reports numbers that are contain one or more decimal point, this market will resolve based on the result of rounding such a number to the nearest whole number.
If none of the listed organizations provide applicable exit polling by November 7, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,479วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 7, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 2, 2026, 2:11 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from Pew Research and Morning Consult shows Republican candidates receiving 8-15% support among Black registered voters in generic congressional ballots ahead of the November 2026 midterms, consistent with the market's tight clustering around 8-13%. This positioning reflects gains from the 2024 presidential election, when Republican support reached roughly 20%, alongside longer-term shifts among younger and working-class Black voters, tempered by subsequent declines tied to economic pressures including inflation and unemployment. A Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais and resulting redistricting in several states have heightened debates over voting access, boosting turnout in some majority-Black areas while contributing to partisan polarization. Historical midterm benchmarks from 2022, when Republicans captured about 13% of the Black vote, provide context for the range, with outcomes likely hinging on turnout differentials and voter priorities in the final weeks.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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