**Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources positions 30°C as the most probable peak temperature for Ankara on September 1, 2026, aligning closely with the market's 62.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Models from sources including Yr.no, WeatherBug, and PredictWind indicate a daytime high near 30°C under mostly sunny to clear skies, light westerly or variable winds, and negligible precipitation—conditions that favor strong daytime heating without significant cloud interference or moisture. Ankara's continental climate in early September typically features highs averaging 27–29°C, with the current pattern reflecting a stable high-pressure regime and seasonal transition from summer. Diurnal ranges are expected to run from overnight lows near 16°C to afternoon peaks, driven by clear skies maximizing solar radiation and low humidity (around 25–40% midday) reducing evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 30°C, with only modest upside potential to 31°C if heating exceeds expectations, supporting the secondary 23.5% odds there, while lower probabilities for 29°C or below reflect the limited downside risk under these settled conditions. No major model divergences or incoming frontal systems appear likely to alter the peak before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Ankara on September 1?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 1?
30°C 65%
31°C 28%
29°C 9%
28°C 3%
ใหม่
$13,194 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,194 ปริมาณ
Sep 1, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
9%
30°C
65%
31°C
28%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
2%
30°C 65%
31°C 28%
29°C 9%
28°C 3%
ใหม่
$13,194 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$13,194 ปริมาณ
Sep 1, 2026
25°C or below
$133 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$1,120 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$482 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$1,219 ปริมาณ
3%
29°C
$2,302 ปริมาณ
9%
30°C
$2,922 ปริมาณ
65%
31°C
$2,730 ปริมาณ
28%
32°C
$1,524 ปริมาณ
1%
33°C
$507 ปริมาณ
2%
34°C
$135 ปริมาณ
2%
35°C or higher
$120 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources positions 30°C as the most probable peak temperature for Ankara on September 1, 2026, aligning closely with the market's 62.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Models from sources including Yr.no, WeatherBug, and PredictWind indicate a daytime high near 30°C under mostly sunny to clear skies, light westerly or variable winds, and negligible precipitation—conditions that favor strong daytime heating without significant cloud interference or moisture.
Ankara's continental climate in early September typically features highs averaging 27–29°C, with the current pattern reflecting a stable high-pressure regime and seasonal transition from summer. Diurnal ranges are expected to run from overnight lows near 16°C to afternoon peaks, driven by clear skies maximizing solar radiation and low humidity (around 25–40% midday) reducing evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 30°C, with only modest upside potential to 31°C if heating exceeds expectations, supporting the secondary 23.5% odds there, while lower probabilities for 29°C or below reflect the limited downside risk under these settled conditions. No major model divergences or incoming frontal systems appear likely to alter the peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,194วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources positions 30°C as the most probable peak temperature for Ankara on September 1, 2026, aligning closely with the market's 62.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Models from sources including Yr.no, WeatherBug, and PredictWind indicate a daytime high near 30°C under mostly sunny to clear skies, light westerly or variable winds, and negligible precipitation—conditions that favor strong daytime heating without significant cloud interference or moisture.
Ankara's continental climate in early September typically features highs averaging 27–29°C, with the current pattern reflecting a stable high-pressure regime and seasonal transition from summer. Diurnal ranges are expected to run from overnight lows near 16°C to afternoon peaks, driven by clear skies maximizing solar radiation and low humidity (around 25–40% midday) reducing evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 30°C, with only modest upside potential to 31°C if heating exceeds expectations, supporting the secondary 23.5% odds there, while lower probabilities for 29°C or below reflect the limited downside risk under these settled conditions. No major model divergences or incoming frontal systems appear likely to alter the peak before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$13,194วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Recent forecast consensus from multiple meteorological sources positions 30°C as the most probable peak temperature for Ankara on September 1, 2026, aligning closely with the market's 62.5% implied probability for that outcome.** Models from sources including Yr.no, WeatherBug, and PredictWind indicate a daytime high near 30°C under mostly sunny to clear skies, light westerly or variable winds, and negligible precipitation—conditions that favor strong daytime heating without significant cloud interference or moisture. Ankara's continental climate in early September typically features highs averaging 27–29°C, with the current pattern reflecting a stable high-pressure regime and seasonal transition from summer. Diurnal ranges are expected to run from overnight lows near 16°C to afternoon peaks, driven by clear skies maximizing solar radiation and low humidity (around 25–40% midday) reducing evaporative cooling. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around 30°C, with only modest upside potential to 31°C if heating exceeds expectations, supporting the secondary 23.5% odds there, while lower probabilities for 29°C or below reflect the limited downside risk under these settled conditions. No major model divergences or incoming frontal systems appear likely to alter the peak before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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