**Observed maximum temperatures at official New York City stations, primarily Central Park, reached only 76–77°F on August 31, 2026, confirming the market's near-certain outcome.** National Weather Service data and real-time observations from KNYC showed afternoon peaks in this narrow band amid cooler-than-normal late-summer conditions, with cloud cover, light southerly winds, and marine influence limiting daytime warming below the seasonal average of ~81°F. Model consensus and post-event climatological summaries aligned closely with these readings, leaving little room for revision. The sole realistic challenge would involve an official data revision or station-specific anomaly, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare and minimal for temperature maxima. Trader consensus correctly reflected the final verified observations rather than earlier forecasts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in NYC on August 31?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 31?
76-77°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$66,273 ปริมาณ
$66,273 ปริมาณ
Aug 31, 2026
73°F or below
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
Yes
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
No
88-89°F
No
90-91°F
No
92°F or higher
No
76-77°F 100.0%
73°F or below <1%
74-75°F <1%
78-79°F <1%
$66,273 ปริมาณ
$66,273 ปริมาณ
Aug 31, 2026
73°F or below
$3,381 ปริมาณ
No
74-75°F
$12,490 ปริมาณ
No
76-77°F
$14,585 ปริมาณ
Yes
78-79°F
$11,158 ปริมาณ
No
80-81°F
$10,371 ปริมาณ
No
82-83°F
$5,737 ปริมาณ
No
84-85°F
$3,979 ปริมาณ
No
86-87°F
$565 ปริมาณ
No
88-89°F
$360 ปริมาณ
No
90-91°F
$2,509 ปริมาณ
No
92°F or higher
$1,138 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Observed maximum temperatures at official New York City stations, primarily Central Park, reached only 76–77°F on August 31, 2026, confirming the market's near-certain outcome.**
National Weather Service data and real-time observations from KNYC showed afternoon peaks in this narrow band amid cooler-than-normal late-summer conditions, with cloud cover, light southerly winds, and marine influence limiting daytime warming below the seasonal average of ~81°F. Model consensus and post-event climatological summaries aligned closely with these readings, leaving little room for revision.
The sole realistic challenge would involve an official data revision or station-specific anomaly, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare and minimal for temperature maxima. Trader consensus correctly reflected the final verified observations rather than earlier forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 29, 2026, 2:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$66,273วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 2:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Observed maximum temperatures at official New York City stations, primarily Central Park, reached only 76–77°F on August 31, 2026, confirming the market's near-certain outcome.**
National Weather Service data and real-time observations from KNYC showed afternoon peaks in this narrow band amid cooler-than-normal late-summer conditions, with cloud cover, light southerly winds, and marine influence limiting daytime warming below the seasonal average of ~81°F. Model consensus and post-event climatological summaries aligned closely with these readings, leaving little room for revision.
The sole realistic challenge would involve an official data revision or station-specific anomaly, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare and minimal for temperature maxima. Trader consensus correctly reflected the final verified observations rather than earlier forecasts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$66,273วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 2:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
**Observed maximum temperatures at official New York City stations, primarily Central Park, reached only 76–77°F on August 31, 2026, confirming the market's near-certain outcome.** National Weather Service data and real-time observations from KNYC showed afternoon peaks in this narrow band amid cooler-than-normal late-summer conditions, with cloud cover, light southerly winds, and marine influence limiting daytime warming below the seasonal average of ~81°F. Model consensus and post-event climatological summaries aligned closely with these readings, leaving little room for revision. The sole realistic challenge would involve an official data revision or station-specific anomaly, though historical precedent shows such changes are rare and minimal for temperature maxima. Trader consensus correctly reflected the final verified observations rather than earlier forecasts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย