Recent Federal Reserve policy under Chair Kevin Warsh, including the September 2026 25-basis-point rate hike to a 3.75-4.00% target range, has anchored 10-year Treasury yields near 4.95% amid above-target inflation and resilient growth. Strong economic momentum from AI-driven capital expenditures, elevated term premia, and geopolitical energy pressures have supported higher borrowing costs, pushing yields up roughly 80 basis points year-to-date from early-2026 lows. Market-implied odds reflect limited scope for sharp declines before 2027 absent cooler CPI or PCE prints or dovish FOMC shifts, though softening labor data or reduced fiscal supply concerns could ease pressure on longer-duration yields. Traders monitor upcoming inflation releases and the next policy meeting for signals on the rate path.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
$273,981 ปริมาณ
Dec 30, 2026
Below 3.9%
5%
Below 3.8%
5%
Below 3.7%
4%
Below 3.6%
5%
Below 3.5%
2%
Below 3.0%
1%
Below 2.0%
2%
Below 1.0%
1%
$273,981 ปริมาณ
Below 3.9%
$51,296 ปริมาณ
5%
Below 3.8%
$57,006 ปริมาณ
5%
Below 3.7%
$35,476 ปริมาณ
4%
Below 3.6%
$6,206 ปริมาณ
5%
Below 3.5%
$43,021 ปริมาณ
2%
Below 3.0%
$7,958 ปริมาณ
1%
Below 2.0%
$564 ปริมาณ
2%
Below 1.0%
$40,696 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent Federal Reserve policy under Chair Kevin Warsh, including the September 2026 25-basis-point rate hike to a 3.75-4.00% target range, has anchored 10-year Treasury yields near 4.95% amid above-target inflation and resilient growth. Strong economic momentum from AI-driven capital expenditures, elevated term premia, and geopolitical energy pressures have supported higher borrowing costs, pushing yields up roughly 80 basis points year-to-date from early-2026 lows. Market-implied odds reflect limited scope for sharp declines before 2027 absent cooler CPI or PCE prints or dovish FOMC shifts, though softening labor data or reduced fiscal supply concerns could ease pressure on longer-duration yields. Traders monitor upcoming inflation releases and the next policy meeting for signals on the rate path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$273,981วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).Recent Federal Reserve policy under Chair Kevin Warsh, including the September 2026 25-basis-point rate hike to a 3.75-4.00% target range, has anchored 10-year Treasury yields near 4.95% amid above-target inflation and resilient growth. Strong economic momentum from AI-driven capital expenditures, elevated term premia, and geopolitical energy pressures have supported higher borrowing costs, pushing yields up roughly 80 basis points year-to-date from early-2026 lows. Market-implied odds reflect limited scope for sharp declines before 2027 absent cooler CPI or PCE prints or dovish FOMC shifts, though softening labor data or reduced fiscal supply concerns could ease pressure on longer-duration yields. Traders monitor upcoming inflation releases and the next policy meeting for signals on the rate path.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for all days in the specified period. If data is not available for all days in the specified period within 14 calendar days (ET) of the end of that period, this market will resolve based on the available data at that time.
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$273,981วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 12, 2025, 6:01 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Recent Federal Reserve policy under Chair Kevin Warsh, including the September 2026 25-basis-point rate hike to a 3.75-4.00% target range, has anchored 10-year Treasury yields near 4.95% amid above-target inflation and resilient growth. Strong economic momentum from AI-driven capital expenditures, elevated term premia, and geopolitical energy pressures have supported higher borrowing costs, pushing yields up roughly 80 basis points year-to-date from early-2026 lows. Market-implied odds reflect limited scope for sharp declines before 2027 absent cooler CPI or PCE prints or dovish FOMC shifts, though softening labor data or reduced fiscal supply concerns could ease pressure on longer-duration yields. Traders monitor upcoming inflation releases and the next policy meeting for signals on the rate path.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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