Idaho's deeply Republican electorate and Jim Risch's long incumbency as a three-term senator anchor trader consensus around his strong position in the November 3, 2026 general election. Risch secured the Republican nomination easily in the May primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. The July withdrawal of Democratic nominee David Roth consolidated opposition behind independent Todd Achilles, a former state representative, yet recent polls show Risch ahead by roughly 18 points amid high undecided shares. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Low-probability shifts could arise from a major late scandal, health event, or unforeseen national swing against the incumbent party, though Idaho's voting patterns and structural barriers have historically limited such impacts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วIdaho Senate Election Winner
Idaho Senate Election Winner
Jim Risch (R) 95.6%
Democrat 2.7%
Todd Achilles (I) 1.0%
$33,321 ปริมาณ
$33,321 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Jim Risch (R)
96%
Democrat
3%
Todd Achilles (I)
1%
Jim Risch (R) 95.6%
Democrat 2.7%
Todd Achilles (I) 1.0%
$33,321 ปริมาณ
$33,321 ปริมาณ
Nov 2, 2026
Jim Risch (R)
$18,749 ปริมาณ
96%
Democrat
$14,397 ปริมาณ
3%
Todd Achilles (I)
$175 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho's deeply Republican electorate and Jim Risch's long incumbency as a three-term senator anchor trader consensus around his strong position in the November 3, 2026 general election. Risch secured the Republican nomination easily in the May primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. The July withdrawal of Democratic nominee David Roth consolidated opposition behind independent Todd Achilles, a former state representative, yet recent polls show Risch ahead by roughly 18 points amid high undecided shares. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Low-probability shifts could arise from a major late scandal, health event, or unforeseen national swing against the incumbent party, though Idaho's voting patterns and structural barriers have historically limited such impacts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,321วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Idaho's deeply Republican electorate and Jim Risch's long incumbency as a three-term senator anchor trader consensus around his strong position in the November 3, 2026 general election. Risch secured the Republican nomination easily in the May primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. The July withdrawal of Democratic nominee David Roth consolidated opposition behind independent Todd Achilles, a former state representative, yet recent polls show Risch ahead by roughly 18 points amid high undecided shares. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Low-probability shifts could arise from a major late scandal, health event, or unforeseen national swing against the incumbent party, though Idaho's voting patterns and structural barriers have historically limited such impacts.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Idaho U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$33,321วันสิ้นสุด
Nov 3, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho's deeply Republican electorate and Jim Risch's long incumbency as a three-term senator anchor trader consensus around his strong position in the November 3, 2026 general election. Risch secured the Republican nomination easily in the May primary and maintains a substantial fundraising edge. The July withdrawal of Democratic nominee David Roth consolidated opposition behind independent Todd Achilles, a former state representative, yet recent polls show Risch ahead by roughly 18 points amid high undecided shares. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Republican. Low-probability shifts could arise from a major late scandal, health event, or unforeseen national swing against the incumbent party, though Idaho's voting patterns and structural barriers have historically limited such impacts.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย